The December 6, 2026, presidential election follows a November 2025 coup that annulled results from a contested vote, a military-led transition under General Horta Inta-A Na Man, and an August 2026 constitutional referendum that expanded executive authority while shrinking parliament. Fernando Dias da Costa, backed by elements of the former opposition PAI-Terra Ranka alliance after PAIGC exclusion, and former president Umaro Sissoco Embaló lead a crowded field of over a dozen candidates under the two-round system. Trader consensus shows no dominant contender because recent instability, residency eligibility rules, the absence of public polling, and fragmented party support keep probabilities dispersed. Upcoming campaign developments, endorsements, or shifts in military posture could consolidate support ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGuinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Fernando Dias da Costa 15.6%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló 5.0%
José Mário Vaz 2.6%
Baciro Djá 1.6%
$339,078 ปริมาณ
$339,078 ปริมาณ
Fernando Dias da Costa
21%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
12%
José Mário Vaz
3%
Baciro Djá
2%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
2%
João Bernardo Vieira
2%
Honório Augusto Lopes
2%
João de Deus Mendes
2%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
1%
Mário da Silva Júnior
1%
Siga Batista
1%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
1%
Fernando Dias da Costa 15.6%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló 5.0%
José Mário Vaz 2.6%
Baciro Djá 1.6%
$339,078 ปริมาณ
$339,078 ปริมาณ
Fernando Dias da Costa
21%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
12%
José Mário Vaz
3%
Baciro Djá
2%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
2%
João Bernardo Vieira
2%
Honório Augusto Lopes
2%
João de Deus Mendes
2%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
1%
Mário da Silva Júnior
1%
Siga Batista
1%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The December 6, 2026, presidential election follows a November 2025 coup that annulled results from a contested vote, a military-led transition under General Horta Inta-A Na Man, and an August 2026 constitutional referendum that expanded executive authority while shrinking parliament. Fernando Dias da Costa, backed by elements of the former opposition PAI-Terra Ranka alliance after PAIGC exclusion, and former president Umaro Sissoco Embaló lead a crowded field of over a dozen candidates under the two-round system. Trader consensus shows no dominant contender because recent instability, residency eligibility rules, the absence of public polling, and fragmented party support keep probabilities dispersed. Upcoming campaign developments, endorsements, or shifts in military posture could consolidate support ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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