Florida's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Gus Bilirakis positioned to retain the seat after redistricting strengthened the GOP tilt to roughly Trump +14 margins. The August 18 primaries, just weeks away, feature limited Democratic competition between Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman, while Bilirakis faces little primary opposition. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid R, reflecting the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, strong fundraising edge for the incumbent, and absence of major national or local developments shifting the balance. Trader consensus at 82% for Republicans captures this structural advantage and low likelihood of an upset, though the 18% Democratic share accounts for any late primary surprises or unusually high turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-12 House Election Winner
FL-12 House Election Winner
$41,384 ปริมาณ
$41,384 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
18%
$41,384 ปริมาณ
$41,384 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$15,473 ปริมาณ
82%
Democratic Party
$25,911 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Gus Bilirakis positioned to retain the seat after redistricting strengthened the GOP tilt to roughly Trump +14 margins. The August 18 primaries, just weeks away, feature limited Democratic competition between Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman, while Bilirakis faces little primary opposition. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid R, reflecting the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, strong fundraising edge for the incumbent, and absence of major national or local developments shifting the balance. Trader consensus at 82% for Republicans captures this structural advantage and low likelihood of an upset, though the 18% Democratic share accounts for any late primary surprises or unusually high turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,384วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Gus Bilirakis positioned to retain the seat after redistricting strengthened the GOP tilt to roughly Trump +14 margins. The August 18 primaries, just weeks away, feature limited Democratic competition between Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman, while Bilirakis faces little primary opposition. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid R, reflecting the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, strong fundraising edge for the incumbent, and absence of major national or local developments shifting the balance. Trader consensus at 82% for Republicans captures this structural advantage and low likelihood of an upset, though the 18% Democratic share accounts for any late primary surprises or unusually high turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,384วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Gus Bilirakis positioned to retain the seat after redistricting strengthened the GOP tilt to roughly Trump +14 margins. The August 18 primaries, just weeks away, feature limited Democratic competition between Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman, while Bilirakis faces little primary opposition. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid R, reflecting the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, strong fundraising edge for the incumbent, and absence of major national or local developments shifting the balance. Trader consensus at 82% for Republicans captures this structural advantage and low likelihood of an upset, though the 18% Democratic share accounts for any late primary surprises or unusually high turnout.
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