Florida's 12th congressional district, anchored in the Tampa Bay region including parts of northern Hillsborough County and Pasco County, carries a Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and a projected 2024 presidential margin of roughly 14 points for the GOP nominee. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, first elected in 2006 and re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2024, faces limited opposition in the August 18 Republican primary and enters the November 3 general election as the clear frontrunner. Democratic primary contenders Kimberly Overman and Darren McAuley have not generated significant momentum or outside spending that would alter the race's trajectory. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district's structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that could shift voter sentiment ahead of the filing deadline and primary season. Trader pricing in this market aligns with those established partisan baselines and historical performance patterns in similar Florida districts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-12 House Election Winner
FL-12 House Election Winner
$32,302 ปริมาณ
$32,302 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
21%
$32,302 ปริมาณ
$32,302 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$12,340 ปริมาณ
77%
Democratic Party
$19,963 ปริมาณ
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district, anchored in the Tampa Bay region including parts of northern Hillsborough County and Pasco County, carries a Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and a projected 2024 presidential margin of roughly 14 points for the GOP nominee. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, first elected in 2006 and re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2024, faces limited opposition in the August 18 Republican primary and enters the November 3 general election as the clear frontrunner. Democratic primary contenders Kimberly Overman and Darren McAuley have not generated significant momentum or outside spending that would alter the race's trajectory. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district's structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that could shift voter sentiment ahead of the filing deadline and primary season. Trader pricing in this market aligns with those established partisan baselines and historical performance patterns in similar Florida districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,302วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district, anchored in the Tampa Bay region including parts of northern Hillsborough County and Pasco County, carries a Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and a projected 2024 presidential margin of roughly 14 points for the GOP nominee. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, first elected in 2006 and re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2024, faces limited opposition in the August 18 Republican primary and enters the November 3 general election as the clear frontrunner. Democratic primary contenders Kimberly Overman and Darren McAuley have not generated significant momentum or outside spending that would alter the race's trajectory. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district's structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that could shift voter sentiment ahead of the filing deadline and primary season. Trader pricing in this market aligns with those established partisan baselines and historical performance patterns in similar Florida districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,302วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 12th congressional district, anchored in the Tampa Bay region including parts of northern Hillsborough County and Pasco County, carries a Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and a projected 2024 presidential margin of roughly 14 points for the GOP nominee. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, first elected in 2006 and re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2024, faces limited opposition in the August 18 Republican primary and enters the November 3 general election as the clear frontrunner. Democratic primary contenders Kimberly Overman and Darren McAuley have not generated significant momentum or outside spending that would alter the race's trajectory. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district's structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that could shift voter sentiment ahead of the filing deadline and primary season. Trader pricing in this market aligns with those established partisan baselines and historical performance patterns in similar Florida districts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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