Incumbent Republican Craig Goldman, who cruised to victory in the March 3 Republican primary unopposed and won the 2024 general election by 27 points in this R+11 district, anchors trader consensus at 82.5% for a GOP hold in the November 2026 general election. The district's strong Republican performance—backing Trump by 24 points in 2024—combined with Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman's low fundraising after her contested primary win, reinforces the Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. Absent polls or major shifts, historical incumbency advantages and partisan voter index sustain the lopsided odds, though national trends or late scandals could influence the race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-12 House Election Winner
TX-12 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,512 ปริมาณ
83%
Democratic Party
$1,556 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Craig Goldman, who cruised to victory in the March 3 Republican primary unopposed and won the 2024 general election by 27 points in this R+11 district, anchors trader consensus at 82.5% for a GOP hold in the November 2026 general election. The district's strong Republican performance—backing Trump by 24 points in 2024—combined with Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman's low fundraising after her contested primary win, reinforces the Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. Absent polls or major shifts, historical incumbency advantages and partisan voter index sustain the lopsided odds, though national trends or late scandals could influence the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,068วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Craig Goldman, who cruised to victory in the March 3 Republican primary unopposed and won the 2024 general election by 27 points in this R+11 district, anchors trader consensus at 82.5% for a GOP hold in the November 2026 general election. The district's strong Republican performance—backing Trump by 24 points in 2024—combined with Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman's low fundraising after her contested primary win, reinforces the Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. Absent polls or major shifts, historical incumbency advantages and partisan voter index sustain the lopsided odds, though national trends or late scandals could influence the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,068วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Craig Goldman, who cruised to victory in the March 3 Republican primary unopposed and won the 2024 general election by 27 points in this R+11 district, anchors trader consensus at 82.5% for a GOP hold in the November 2026 general election. The district's strong Republican performance—backing Trump by 24 points in 2024—combined with Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman's low fundraising after her contested primary win, reinforces the Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. Absent polls or major shifts, historical incumbency advantages and partisan voter index sustain the lopsided odds, though national trends or late scandals could influence the race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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