Dan Koh leads the MA-06 Democratic primary market at 74.5% implied probability due to his substantial fundraising edge, prior experience as Andover selectman and White House deputy director of intergovernmental affairs, and name recognition in a crowded field of 12 candidates for the open seat. State Rep. Tram Nguyen sits at 24.4% after a May internal poll showed her ahead at 28% to Koh’s 18% among likely Democratic primary voters, though 24% remained undecided; earlier March surveys had the race tighter. The September 1, 2026 primary remains months away, leaving room for shifts from endorsements, additional debates, or further fundraising reports as candidates vie to replace Rep. Seth Moulton. Lower-probability contenders trail significantly on resources and visibility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDan Koh 75%
Tram Nguyen 24.6%
Seth Moulton 5.3%
Kevin Larivee 5.0%
$40,039 ปริมาณ
$40,039 ปริมาณ
Dan Koh
75%
Tram Nguyen
25%
Seth Moulton
5%
Kevin Larivee
5%
Rachel Creemers
3%
Mariah Lancaster
2%
Beth Andres-Beck
2%
John Beccia
2%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
1%
Rick Jakious
1%
Dominick Pangallo
<1%
Diann Slavit Baylis
<1%
Dan Koh 75%
Tram Nguyen 24.6%
Seth Moulton 5.3%
Kevin Larivee 5.0%
$40,039 ปริมาณ
$40,039 ปริมาณ
Dan Koh
75%
Tram Nguyen
25%
Seth Moulton
5%
Kevin Larivee
5%
Rachel Creemers
3%
Mariah Lancaster
2%
Beth Andres-Beck
2%
John Beccia
2%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
1%
Rick Jakious
1%
Dominick Pangallo
<1%
Diann Slavit Baylis
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Dan Koh leads the MA-06 Democratic primary market at 74.5% implied probability due to his substantial fundraising edge, prior experience as Andover selectman and White House deputy director of intergovernmental affairs, and name recognition in a crowded field of 12 candidates for the open seat. State Rep. Tram Nguyen sits at 24.4% after a May internal poll showed her ahead at 28% to Koh’s 18% among likely Democratic primary voters, though 24% remained undecided; earlier March surveys had the race tighter. The September 1, 2026 primary remains months away, leaving room for shifts from endorsements, additional debates, or further fundraising reports as candidates vie to replace Rep. Seth Moulton. Lower-probability contenders trail significantly on resources and visibility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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