Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola holds trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, propelled by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her leading 52.4%-47.6% in the final ranked-choice voting round—a nearly 10-point swing since August 2025 favoring the Democratic challenger. Peltola's Q1 fundraising dominance, raising $8.9 million to Sullivan's $2.1 million announced April 13, signals robust national Democratic backing and resources for Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 ahead of the November 3 general. Minor candidates trail far behind, underscoring a tight two-way contest where RCV dynamics and voter turnout in this red-leaning state could tip the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 64%
Dan Sullivan 35%
Richard Grayson <1%
Dustin Darden <1%
$302,134 ปริมาณ
$302,134 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Mary Peltola
64%
Dan Sullivan
35%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Mary Peltola 64%
Dan Sullivan 35%
Richard Grayson <1%
Dustin Darden <1%
$302,134 ปริมาณ
$302,134 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Mary Peltola
$152,363 ปริมาณ
64%
Dan Sullivan
$83,374 ปริมาณ
35%
Richard Grayson
$17,018 ปริมาณ
<1%
Dustin Darden
$18,670 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ann Diener
$30,709 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola holds trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, propelled by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her leading 52.4%-47.6% in the final ranked-choice voting round—a nearly 10-point swing since August 2025 favoring the Democratic challenger. Peltola's Q1 fundraising dominance, raising $8.9 million to Sullivan's $2.1 million announced April 13, signals robust national Democratic backing and resources for Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 ahead of the November 3 general. Minor candidates trail far behind, underscoring a tight two-way contest where RCV dynamics and voter turnout in this red-leaning state could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$302,134วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola holds trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, propelled by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her leading 52.4%-47.6% in the final ranked-choice voting round—a nearly 10-point swing since August 2025 favoring the Democratic challenger. Peltola's Q1 fundraising dominance, raising $8.9 million to Sullivan's $2.1 million announced April 13, signals robust national Democratic backing and resources for Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 ahead of the November 3 general. Minor candidates trail far behind, underscoring a tight two-way contest where RCV dynamics and voter turnout in this red-leaning state could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$302,134วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola holds trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, propelled by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her leading 52.4%-47.6% in the final ranked-choice voting round—a nearly 10-point swing since August 2025 favoring the Democratic challenger. Peltola's Q1 fundraising dominance, raising $8.9 million to Sullivan's $2.1 million announced April 13, signals robust national Democratic backing and resources for Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 ahead of the November 3 general. Minor candidates trail far behind, underscoring a tight two-way contest where RCV dynamics and voter turnout in this red-leaning state could tip the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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