Mary Peltola’s strong performance in Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan primary, where she captured 49.5% of the vote ahead of incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan’s 41.4%, has driven trader consensus toward her 63.5% implied probability in the November general election. Peltola outraised Sullivan in recent quarters and enters the ranked-choice voting contest with high name recognition from her prior House victories and appeal among independents in the state’s open political environment. Sullivan retains the advantages of incumbency and Republican base support, yet faces a competitive path in a race rated toss-up by multiple forecasters. Minor candidates including Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. and Gerald Heikes remain on the ballot but register negligible market prices, underscoring the focus on the two leading contenders ahead of the November 3 contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 64%
Sen. Dan Sullivan 37%
Dustin Darden <1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1%
$466,195 ปริมาณ
$466,195 ปริมาณ
Mary Peltola
64%
Sen. Dan Sullivan
37%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
David Leslie
<1%
Mary Peltola 64%
Sen. Dan Sullivan 37%
Dustin Darden <1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1%
$466,195 ปริมาณ
$466,195 ปริมาณ
Mary Peltola
64%
Sen. Dan Sullivan
37%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
David Leslie
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola’s strong performance in Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan primary, where she captured 49.5% of the vote ahead of incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan’s 41.4%, has driven trader consensus toward her 63.5% implied probability in the November general election. Peltola outraised Sullivan in recent quarters and enters the ranked-choice voting contest with high name recognition from her prior House victories and appeal among independents in the state’s open political environment. Sullivan retains the advantages of incumbency and Republican base support, yet faces a competitive path in a race rated toss-up by multiple forecasters. Minor candidates including Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. and Gerald Heikes remain on the ballot but register negligible market prices, underscoring the focus on the two leading contenders ahead of the November 3 contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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