The robust trader consensus against a Trump resignation by the end of 2026 stems primarily from the lack of any public statements, health disclosures, or institutional pressures indicating an early departure during the current presidential term. Historical patterns show presidents completing terms unless facing acute crises, and no such developments have emerged in recent months to shift this baseline. Policy priorities, cabinet continuity, and electoral positioning for future cycles further align incentives toward serving out the full period. Even at this elevated implied probability, factors such as a sudden medical event, major legal ruling, or unforeseen personal decision could still prompt reconsideration, though none appear imminent based on available information.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใช่
4% โอกาส
$537,762 ปริมาณ
$537,762 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
4% โอกาส
$537,762 ปริมาณ
$537,762 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The robust trader consensus against a Trump resignation by the end of 2026 stems primarily from the lack of any public statements, health disclosures, or institutional pressures indicating an early departure during the current presidential term. Historical patterns show presidents completing terms unless facing acute crises, and no such developments have emerged in recent months to shift this baseline. Policy priorities, cabinet continuity, and electoral positioning for future cycles further align incentives toward serving out the full period. Even at this elevated implied probability, factors such as a sudden medical event, major legal ruling, or unforeseen personal decision could still prompt reconsideration, though none appear imminent based on available information.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$537,762วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The robust trader consensus against a Trump resignation by the end of 2026 stems primarily from the lack of any public statements, health disclosures, or institutional pressures indicating an early departure during the current presidential term. Historical patterns show presidents completing terms unless facing acute crises, and no such developments have emerged in recent months to shift this baseline. Policy priorities, cabinet continuity, and electoral positioning for future cycles further align incentives toward serving out the full period. Even at this elevated implied probability, factors such as a sudden medical event, major legal ruling, or unforeseen personal decision could still prompt reconsideration, though none appear imminent based on available information.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$537,762วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...The robust trader consensus against a Trump resignation by the end of 2026 stems primarily from the lack of any public statements, health disclosures, or institutional pressures indicating an early departure during the current presidential term. Historical patterns show presidents completing terms unless facing acute crises, and no such developments have emerged in recent months to shift this baseline. Policy priorities, cabinet continuity, and electoral positioning for future cycles further align incentives toward serving out the full period. Even at this elevated implied probability, factors such as a sudden medical event, major legal ruling, or unforeseen personal decision could still prompt reconsideration, though none appear imminent based on available information.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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