Recent polling aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Nate Silver’s models place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, aligning with trader emphasis on the 38.0–38.4 range. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the economy, cost-of-living pressures, and the protracted Iran conflict—factors that have weighed on ratings throughout the second term—continue to anchor numbers below 40 percent in most surveys. Rasmussen Reports recently showed a higher 42 percent figure, while Economist/YouGov and FT/Focaldata tracking registered 33–35 percent, illustrating typical pollster variation that markets price into tight bins around 38. With September 11 falling amid stable midterm-season conditions and no immediate catalysts expected to shift sentiment sharply, current consensus reflects these steady trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว38.0–38.4 44%
38.5–38.9 30%
37.5–37.9 11%
39.0–39.4 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
<1%
37.5–37.9
11%
38.0–38.4
44%
38.5–38.9
30%
39.0–39.4
10%
39.5+
1%
38.0–38.4 44%
38.5–38.9 30%
37.5–37.9 11%
39.0–39.4 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
$727 ปริมาณ
<1%
37.5–37.9
$1,033 ปริมาณ
11%
38.0–38.4
$2,082 ปริมาณ
44%
38.5–38.9
$1,394 ปริมาณ
30%
39.0–39.4
$684 ปริมาณ
10%
39.5+
$312 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Nate Silver’s models place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, aligning with trader emphasis on the 38.0–38.4 range. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the economy, cost-of-living pressures, and the protracted Iran conflict—factors that have weighed on ratings throughout the second term—continue to anchor numbers below 40 percent in most surveys. Rasmussen Reports recently showed a higher 42 percent figure, while Economist/YouGov and FT/Focaldata tracking registered 33–35 percent, illustrating typical pollster variation that markets price into tight bins around 38. With September 11 falling amid stable midterm-season conditions and no immediate catalysts expected to shift sentiment sharply, current consensus reflects these steady trends.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,233วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Nate Silver’s models place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, aligning with trader emphasis on the 38.0–38.4 range. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the economy, cost-of-living pressures, and the protracted Iran conflict—factors that have weighed on ratings throughout the second term—continue to anchor numbers below 40 percent in most surveys. Rasmussen Reports recently showed a higher 42 percent figure, while Economist/YouGov and FT/Focaldata tracking registered 33–35 percent, illustrating typical pollster variation that markets price into tight bins around 38. With September 11 falling amid stable midterm-season conditions and no immediate catalysts expected to shift sentiment sharply, current consensus reflects these steady trends.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,233วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Nate Silver’s models place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, aligning with trader emphasis on the 38.0–38.4 range. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the economy, cost-of-living pressures, and the protracted Iran conflict—factors that have weighed on ratings throughout the second term—continue to anchor numbers below 40 percent in most surveys. Rasmussen Reports recently showed a higher 42 percent figure, while Economist/YouGov and FT/Focaldata tracking registered 33–35 percent, illustrating typical pollster variation that markets price into tight bins around 38. With September 11 falling amid stable midterm-season conditions and no immediate catalysts expected to shift sentiment sharply, current consensus reflects these steady trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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