China's 2026 GDP growth consensus centers on the 4.0–5.0% range, reflecting alignment with the official target of 4.5–5.0% and recent forecasts from institutions such as the World Bank (4.4%), IMF (around 4.6%), and Goldman Sachs (4.8%). Resilient exports, particularly in high-tech and AI-linked goods, have offset weak domestic demand, including subdued retail sales, fixed-asset investment, and ongoing property sector adjustment. Q2 growth slowed to about 4.3%, prompting expectations of incremental fiscal and monetary support under the 15th Five-Year Plan priorities. Traders price limited upside above 5% or downside below 4% absent major shifts in external demand, policy scale, or structural headwinds like consumption weakness.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วChina Annual GDP Growth 2026
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 5.9%
3.0–4.0% 1.1%
8.0–9.0% 1.0%
$900,170 ปริมาณ
$900,170 ปริมาณ
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
1%
4.0–5.0%
90%
5.0–6.0%
6%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
1%
9.0%+
1%
4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 5.9%
3.0–4.0% 1.1%
8.0–9.0% 1.0%
$900,170 ปริมาณ
$900,170 ปริมาณ
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
$68,058 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.0–2.0%
$75,379 ปริมาณ
<1%
2.0–3.0%
$45,830 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.0–4.0%
$81,476 ปริมาณ
1%
4.0–5.0%
$223,012 ปริมาณ
90%
5.0–6.0%
$80,873 ปริมาณ
6%
6.0-7.0%
$87,943 ปริมาณ
<1%
7.0–8.0%
$65,353 ปริมาณ
<1%
8.0–9.0%
$54,761 ปริมาณ
1%
9.0%+
$117,484 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's 2026 GDP growth consensus centers on the 4.0–5.0% range, reflecting alignment with the official target of 4.5–5.0% and recent forecasts from institutions such as the World Bank (4.4%), IMF (around 4.6%), and Goldman Sachs (4.8%). Resilient exports, particularly in high-tech and AI-linked goods, have offset weak domestic demand, including subdued retail sales, fixed-asset investment, and ongoing property sector adjustment. Q2 growth slowed to about 4.3%, prompting expectations of incremental fiscal and monetary support under the 15th Five-Year Plan priorities. Traders price limited upside above 5% or downside below 4% absent major shifts in external demand, policy scale, or structural headwinds like consumption weakness.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$900,170วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's 2026 GDP growth consensus centers on the 4.0–5.0% range, reflecting alignment with the official target of 4.5–5.0% and recent forecasts from institutions such as the World Bank (4.4%), IMF (around 4.6%), and Goldman Sachs (4.8%). Resilient exports, particularly in high-tech and AI-linked goods, have offset weak domestic demand, including subdued retail sales, fixed-asset investment, and ongoing property sector adjustment. Q2 growth slowed to about 4.3%, prompting expectations of incremental fiscal and monetary support under the 15th Five-Year Plan priorities. Traders price limited upside above 5% or downside below 4% absent major shifts in external demand, policy scale, or structural headwinds like consumption weakness.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$900,170วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...China's 2026 GDP growth consensus centers on the 4.0–5.0% range, reflecting alignment with the official target of 4.5–5.0% and recent forecasts from institutions such as the World Bank (4.4%), IMF (around 4.6%), and Goldman Sachs (4.8%). Resilient exports, particularly in high-tech and AI-linked goods, have offset weak domestic demand, including subdued retail sales, fixed-asset investment, and ongoing property sector adjustment. Q2 growth slowed to about 4.3%, prompting expectations of incremental fiscal and monetary support under the 15th Five-Year Plan priorities. Traders price limited upside above 5% or downside below 4% absent major shifts in external demand, policy scale, or structural headwinds like consumption weakness.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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