Recent ECB staff projections place eurozone real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, revised modestly higher from 0.8% in June, reflecting greater-than-expected resilience amid the Middle East conflict’s energy price shock. Second-quarter GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter (1.2% year-on-year), exceeding flash estimates and supported by household spending, defense and infrastructure outlays, and AI-related investment, though Irish data volatility and subdued manufacturing temper the outlook. Elevated inflation near 3.0% prompted a September 25-basis-point rate hike, with the deposit facility now at 2.50%, tightening financial conditions and capping upside risks. Consensus forecasts cluster near 0.8–1.0%, aligning with the market’s concentration on the 0–2.0% range while leaving limited room for stronger expansion absent further fiscal support or easing geopolitical pressures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
1.0-2.0% 66%
0-1.0% 30.9%
<0% <1%
3.0-4.0% <1%
$41,913 ปริมาณ
$41,913 ปริมาณ
<0%
<1%
0-1.0%
31%
1.0-2.0%
66%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
<1%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
1.0-2.0% 66%
0-1.0% 30.9%
<0% <1%
3.0-4.0% <1%
$41,913 ปริมาณ
$41,913 ปริมาณ
<0%
<1%
0-1.0%
31%
1.0-2.0%
66%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
<1%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Recent ECB staff projections place eurozone real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, revised modestly higher from 0.8% in June, reflecting greater-than-expected resilience amid the Middle East conflict’s energy price shock. Second-quarter GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter (1.2% year-on-year), exceeding flash estimates and supported by household spending, defense and infrastructure outlays, and AI-related investment, though Irish data volatility and subdued manufacturing temper the outlook. Elevated inflation near 3.0% prompted a September 25-basis-point rate hike, with the deposit facility now at 2.50%, tightening financial conditions and capping upside risks. Consensus forecasts cluster near 0.8–1.0%, aligning with the market’s concentration on the 0–2.0% range while leaving limited room for stronger expansion absent further fiscal support or easing geopolitical pressures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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