The U.S. unemployment rate stood at 4.2% in June 2026, down from 4.3% in May, reflecting a stable labor market with subdued job gains and a contracting labor force. The Federal Reserve has held the policy rate steady at 3.50–3.75% amid somewhat elevated inflation, prioritizing price stability over further easing despite forecasts showing the rate potentially peaking near 4.4–4.6% later in the year. Key upcoming catalysts include the July employment report and ongoing FOMC assessments of labor conditions versus inflation pressures, which continue to shape trader views on whether modest slack or external factors like tariffs could push the peak higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow high will US unemployment go in 2026?
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$478,825 ปริมาณ
Jan 10, 2026
5.0%
10%
5.5%
9%
6.0%
9%
7.0%
7%
10.0%
5%
$478,825 ปริมาณ
5.0%
$122,682 ปริมาณ
10%
5.5%
$200,527 ปริมาณ
9%
6.0%
$74,704 ปริมาณ
9%
7.0%
$30,166 ปริมาณ
7%
10.0%
$50,745 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The U.S. unemployment rate stood at 4.2% in June 2026, down from 4.3% in May, reflecting a stable labor market with subdued job gains and a contracting labor force. The Federal Reserve has held the policy rate steady at 3.50–3.75% amid somewhat elevated inflation, prioritizing price stability over further easing despite forecasts showing the rate potentially peaking near 4.4–4.6% later in the year. Key upcoming catalysts include the July employment report and ongoing FOMC assessments of labor conditions versus inflation pressures, which continue to shape trader views on whether modest slack or external factors like tariffs could push the peak higher.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$478,825วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The U.S. unemployment rate stood at 4.2% in June 2026, down from 4.3% in May, reflecting a stable labor market with subdued job gains and a contracting labor force. The Federal Reserve has held the policy rate steady at 3.50–3.75% amid somewhat elevated inflation, prioritizing price stability over further easing despite forecasts showing the rate potentially peaking near 4.4–4.6% later in the year. Key upcoming catalysts include the July employment report and ongoing FOMC assessments of labor conditions versus inflation pressures, which continue to shape trader views on whether modest slack or external factors like tariffs could push the peak higher.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$478,825วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. unemployment rate stood at 4.2% in June 2026, down from 4.3% in May, reflecting a stable labor market with subdued job gains and a contracting labor force. The Federal Reserve has held the policy rate steady at 3.50–3.75% amid somewhat elevated inflation, prioritizing price stability over further easing despite forecasts showing the rate potentially peaking near 4.4–4.6% later in the year. Key upcoming catalysts include the July employment report and ongoing FOMC assessments of labor conditions versus inflation pressures, which continue to shape trader views on whether modest slack or external factors like tariffs could push the peak higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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