Trader sentiment on peak 2026 inflation reflects March CPI's surge to 3.3% year-over-year—highest since May 2024—released April 10, driven by a 10.9% energy price spike amid U.S.-Israel tensions and oil disruptions, lifting headline inflation sharply from February's 2.4%. Polymarket-implied probabilities price an 84% chance of exceeding 3.5% peak, 30% for above 4%, signaling trader consensus on sticky pressures despite core CPI easing to 2.6%. The Fed's March SEP projects PCE inflation at 2.7% by year-end, but hotter data challenges rate cut expectations amid resilient labor markets. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วอัตราเงินเฟ้อจะสูงขึ้นแค่ไหนในปี 2026?
อัตราเงินเฟ้อจะสูงขึ้นแค่ไหนในปี 2026?
$667,437 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
สูงกว่า 3.5%
84%
มากกว่า 4%
30%
มากกว่า 5%
19%
มากกว่า 6%
14%
มากกว่า 8%
8%
มากกว่า 10%
5%
$667,437 ปริมาณ
สูงกว่า 3.5%
$112,595 ปริมาณ
84%
มากกว่า 4%
$123,122 ปริมาณ
30%
มากกว่า 5%
$59,332 ปริมาณ
19%
มากกว่า 6%
$28,908 ปริมาณ
14%
มากกว่า 8%
$34,002 ปริมาณ
8%
มากกว่า 10%
$29,433 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment on peak 2026 inflation reflects March CPI's surge to 3.3% year-over-year—highest since May 2024—released April 10, driven by a 10.9% energy price spike amid U.S.-Israel tensions and oil disruptions, lifting headline inflation sharply from February's 2.4%. Polymarket-implied probabilities price an 84% chance of exceeding 3.5% peak, 30% for above 4%, signaling trader consensus on sticky pressures despite core CPI easing to 2.6%. The Fed's March SEP projects PCE inflation at 2.7% by year-end, but hotter data challenges rate cut expectations amid resilient labor markets. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$667,437วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment on peak 2026 inflation reflects March CPI's surge to 3.3% year-over-year—highest since May 2024—released April 10, driven by a 10.9% energy price spike amid U.S.-Israel tensions and oil disruptions, lifting headline inflation sharply from February's 2.4%. Polymarket-implied probabilities price an 84% chance of exceeding 3.5% peak, 30% for above 4%, signaling trader consensus on sticky pressures despite core CPI easing to 2.6%. The Fed's March SEP projects PCE inflation at 2.7% by year-end, but hotter data challenges rate cut expectations amid resilient labor markets. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$667,437วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on peak 2026 inflation reflects March CPI's surge to 3.3% year-over-year—highest since May 2024—released April 10, driven by a 10.9% energy price spike amid U.S.-Israel tensions and oil disruptions, lifting headline inflation sharply from February's 2.4%. Polymarket-implied probabilities price an 84% chance of exceeding 3.5% peak, 30% for above 4%, signaling trader consensus on sticky pressures despite core CPI easing to 2.6%. The Fed's March SEP projects PCE inflation at 2.7% by year-end, but hotter data challenges rate cut expectations amid resilient labor markets. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย