Recent upward pressure on UK CPI from higher global energy prices amid Middle East tensions has lifted July 2026 inflation to 2.9%, following 2.6% in June, with Bank of England projections pointing to a peak near 3.2% in Q4 2026. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.5–3.9% buckets because traders weigh the duration of the energy shock against limited second-round effects, given subdued wage growth and a negative output gap. Core CPI remains anchored near 2.6%, while Ofgem price cap adjustments and supply-chain pass-through introduce upside risks. The next CPI release and any further energy developments will likely determine whether annual 2026 inflation settles below or above 3%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 23.9%
3.5–3.9% 22.4%
4.0-4.4% 10%
4.5%+ 8%
$68,390 ปริมาณ
$68,390 ปริมาณ
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
3%
1.5–1.9%
4%
2.0–2.4%
4%
2.5–2.9%
24%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
22%
4.0-4.4%
10%
4.5%+
8%
2.5–2.9% 23.9%
3.5–3.9% 22.4%
4.0-4.4% 10%
4.5%+ 8%
$68,390 ปริมาณ
$68,390 ปริมาณ
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
$943 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.0–1.4%
$1,260 ปริมาณ
3%
1.5–1.9%
$1,971 ปริมาณ
4%
2.0–2.4%
$4,209 ปริมาณ
4%
2.5–2.9%
$18,152 ปริมาณ
24%
3.0–3.4%
$0 ปริมาณ
-
3.5–3.9%
$28,204 ปริมาณ
22%
4.0-4.4%
$5,702 ปริมาณ
10%
4.5%+
$7,949 ปริมาณ
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent upward pressure on UK CPI from higher global energy prices amid Middle East tensions has lifted July 2026 inflation to 2.9%, following 2.6% in June, with Bank of England projections pointing to a peak near 3.2% in Q4 2026. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.5–3.9% buckets because traders weigh the duration of the energy shock against limited second-round effects, given subdued wage growth and a negative output gap. Core CPI remains anchored near 2.6%, while Ofgem price cap adjustments and supply-chain pass-through introduce upside risks. The next CPI release and any further energy developments will likely determine whether annual 2026 inflation settles below or above 3%.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,390วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent upward pressure on UK CPI from higher global energy prices amid Middle East tensions has lifted July 2026 inflation to 2.9%, following 2.6% in June, with Bank of England projections pointing to a peak near 3.2% in Q4 2026. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.5–3.9% buckets because traders weigh the duration of the energy shock against limited second-round effects, given subdued wage growth and a negative output gap. Core CPI remains anchored near 2.6%, while Ofgem price cap adjustments and supply-chain pass-through introduce upside risks. The next CPI release and any further energy developments will likely determine whether annual 2026 inflation settles below or above 3%.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,390วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward pressure on UK CPI from higher global energy prices amid Middle East tensions has lifted July 2026 inflation to 2.9%, following 2.6% in June, with Bank of England projections pointing to a peak near 3.2% in Q4 2026. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.5–3.9% buckets because traders weigh the duration of the energy shock against limited second-round effects, given subdued wage growth and a negative output gap. Core CPI remains anchored near 2.6%, while Ofgem price cap adjustments and supply-chain pass-through introduce upside risks. The next CPI release and any further energy developments will likely determine whether annual 2026 inflation settles below or above 3%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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