Sticky UK CPI inflation at 3.0% year-over-year through February 2026, coupled with geopolitical tensions driving higher energy prices, has pushed market-implied odds for annual inflation exceeding 4.5% to a leading 31% on Polymarket, signaling trader concerns over persistent upside risks. The Office for National Statistics reported core CPI rising to 3.2% in February, while the Bank of England's March Monetary Policy Committee held Bank Rate at 3.75%, citing elevated wage pressures and oil shocks from Middle East conflicts as key factors tempering rate-cut expectations. Lower buckets like <1.0% (19.3%) reflect potential demand slowdowns from tighter policy, but uncertainty persists amid volatile commodity inputs; watch March CPI release on April 22 and April 30 MPC for catalysts that could shift the wide-open field.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4.5%+ 31%
4.0-4.4% 18%
<1.0% 16.4%
1.5–1.9% 15.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
16%
1.0–1.4%
3%
1.5–1.9%
15%
2.0–2.4%
5%
2.5–2.9%
18%
3.5–3.9%
17%
4.0-4.4%
18%
4.5%+
31%
4.5%+ 31%
4.0-4.4% 18%
<1.0% 16.4%
1.5–1.9% 15.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
$601 ปริมาณ
16%
1.0–1.4%
$325 ปริมาณ
3%
1.5–1.9%
$478 ปริมาณ
15%
2.0–2.4%
$305 ปริมาณ
5%
2.5–2.9%
$380 ปริมาณ
18%
3.5–3.9%
$252 ปริมาณ
17%
4.0-4.4%
$398 ปริมาณ
18%
4.5%+
$837 ปริมาณ
31%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarSticky UK CPI inflation at 3.0% year-over-year through February 2026, coupled with geopolitical tensions driving higher energy prices, has pushed market-implied odds for annual inflation exceeding 4.5% to a leading 31% on Polymarket, signaling trader concerns over persistent upside risks. The Office for National Statistics reported core CPI rising to 3.2% in February, while the Bank of England's March Monetary Policy Committee held Bank Rate at 3.75%, citing elevated wage pressures and oil shocks from Middle East conflicts as key factors tempering rate-cut expectations. Lower buckets like <1.0% (19.3%) reflect potential demand slowdowns from tighter policy, but uncertainty persists amid volatile commodity inputs; watch March CPI release on April 22 and April 30 MPC for catalysts that could shift the wide-open field.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,575วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarSticky UK CPI inflation at 3.0% year-over-year through February 2026, coupled with geopolitical tensions driving higher energy prices, has pushed market-implied odds for annual inflation exceeding 4.5% to a leading 31% on Polymarket, signaling trader concerns over persistent upside risks. The Office for National Statistics reported core CPI rising to 3.2% in February, while the Bank of England's March Monetary Policy Committee held Bank Rate at 3.75%, citing elevated wage pressures and oil shocks from Middle East conflicts as key factors tempering rate-cut expectations. Lower buckets like <1.0% (19.3%) reflect potential demand slowdowns from tighter policy, but uncertainty persists amid volatile commodity inputs; watch March CPI release on April 22 and April 30 MPC for catalysts that could shift the wide-open field.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,575วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sticky UK CPI inflation at 3.0% year-over-year through February 2026, coupled with geopolitical tensions driving higher energy prices, has pushed market-implied odds for annual inflation exceeding 4.5% to a leading 31% on Polymarket, signaling trader concerns over persistent upside risks. The Office for National Statistics reported core CPI rising to 3.2% in February, while the Bank of England's March Monetary Policy Committee held Bank Rate at 3.75%, citing elevated wage pressures and oil shocks from Middle East conflicts as key factors tempering rate-cut expectations. Lower buckets like <1.0% (19.3%) reflect potential demand slowdowns from tighter policy, but uncertainty persists amid volatile commodity inputs; watch March CPI release on April 22 and April 30 MPC for catalysts that could shift the wide-open field.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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