Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest April 2026 CPI month-over-month increase at 0.5% (36.5% implied probability) or 0.4% (27.5%), reflecting closely contested dynamics after March's hotter-than-expected 0.9% headline print—driven by a gasoline surge amid Iran-related oil disruptions pushing Brent above $100—offset by subdued core CPI at 0.2% MoM and 2.6% YoY. Recent March PPI (0.5% MoM, below 1.1% forecast) and import prices (0.8% MoM vs. 2.0% expected) signal cooling producer pressures, but persistent shelter costs and energy volatility remain key swing factors. April PPI data due May 13 may refine expectations ahead of CPI release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วApril Inflation US - Monthly
April Inflation US - Monthly
≤0.3%
9%
0.4%
28%
0.5%
37%
0.6%
14%
0.7%
6%
0.8%
6%
0.9%
2%
1.0%
3%
≥1.1%
3%
≤0.3%
9%
0.4%
28%
0.5%
37%
0.6%
14%
0.7%
6%
0.8%
6%
0.9%
2%
1.0%
3%
≥1.1%
3%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest April 2026 CPI month-over-month increase at 0.5% (36.5% implied probability) or 0.4% (27.5%), reflecting closely contested dynamics after March's hotter-than-expected 0.9% headline print—driven by a gasoline surge amid Iran-related oil disruptions pushing Brent above $100—offset by subdued core CPI at 0.2% MoM and 2.6% YoY. Recent March PPI (0.5% MoM, below 1.1% forecast) and import prices (0.8% MoM vs. 2.0% expected) signal cooling producer pressures, but persistent shelter costs and energy volatility remain key swing factors. April PPI data due May 13 may refine expectations ahead of CPI release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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