Recent energy price spikes from the Middle East conflict have lifted Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026, up from 2.4% in March, driving near-term upside risks and elevating Bank of Canada projections for 2026 inflation by about 0.3 percentage points versus January forecasts. Core measures remain cooler near 2.1%, supporting trader consensus around the 2% target amid modest GDP growth and neutral policy rates near 2.25%. The closely contested odds across 1.5–3.9% ranges reflect uncertainty over whether transitory gasoline effects will persist in the annual average or yield to disinflationary pressures from excess capacity and easing monetary policy. Key upcoming catalysts include June CPI data and further BoC communications on inflation expectations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCanada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 35.1%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.9%
$16,471 ปริมาณ
$16,471 ปริมาณ
<1.0%
33%
1.0–1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
40%
2.0–2.4%
21%
2.5–2.9%
34%
3.0-3.4%
31%
3.5-3.9%
35%
4.0%+
1%
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 35.1%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.9%
$16,471 ปริมาณ
$16,471 ปริมาณ
<1.0%
33%
1.0–1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
40%
2.0–2.4%
21%
2.5–2.9%
34%
3.0-3.4%
31%
3.5-3.9%
35%
4.0%+
1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price spikes from the Middle East conflict have lifted Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026, up from 2.4% in March, driving near-term upside risks and elevating Bank of Canada projections for 2026 inflation by about 0.3 percentage points versus January forecasts. Core measures remain cooler near 2.1%, supporting trader consensus around the 2% target amid modest GDP growth and neutral policy rates near 2.25%. The closely contested odds across 1.5–3.9% ranges reflect uncertainty over whether transitory gasoline effects will persist in the annual average or yield to disinflationary pressures from excess capacity and easing monetary policy. Key upcoming catalysts include June CPI data and further BoC communications on inflation expectations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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