Polymarket traders price a modest 30% implied probability on Canada annual CPI inflation landing in the 3.5-3.9% range for 2026, reflecting fragmented sentiment amid recent volatility. February 2026 year-over-year CPI eased to 1.8%—down from January's 2.3% on base effects—while core measures held near 2.3%, but Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem noted yesterday an expected March acceleration below 3% driven by spiking gas prices. Elevated household three-year inflation expectations at 3.8% signal stickiness risks, differentiating higher bins from sub-2% outcomes vulnerable to further monetary easing from the steady 2.25% policy rate. Key swing factors include April 20 CPI release and the April 29 BoC decision, with energy costs and wage pressures pivotal for the year's trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
3.5-3.9% 24.1%
3.0-3.4% 19.7%
2.5–2.9% 14.2%
4.0%+ 10.6%
$15,800 ปริมาณ
$15,800 ปริมาณ
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
7%
1.0–1.4%
<1%
1.5–1.9%
5%
2.0–2.4%
5%
2.5–2.9%
14%
3.0-3.4%
20%
3.5-3.9%
30%
4.0%+
14%
3.5-3.9% 24.1%
3.0-3.4% 19.7%
2.5–2.9% 14.2%
4.0%+ 10.6%
$15,800 ปริมาณ
$15,800 ปริมาณ
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
$282 ปริมาณ
7%
1.0–1.4%
$303 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.5–1.9%
$568 ปริมาณ
5%
2.0–2.4%
$350 ปริมาณ
5%
2.5–2.9%
$464 ปริมาณ
14%
3.0-3.4%
$13,245 ปริมาณ
20%
3.5-3.9%
$263 ปริมาณ
30%
4.0%+
$325 ปริมาณ
14%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Polymarket traders price a modest 30% implied probability on Canada annual CPI inflation landing in the 3.5-3.9% range for 2026, reflecting fragmented sentiment amid recent volatility. February 2026 year-over-year CPI eased to 1.8%—down from January's 2.3% on base effects—while core measures held near 2.3%, but Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem noted yesterday an expected March acceleration below 3% driven by spiking gas prices. Elevated household three-year inflation expectations at 3.8% signal stickiness risks, differentiating higher bins from sub-2% outcomes vulnerable to further monetary easing from the steady 2.25% policy rate. Key swing factors include April 20 CPI release and the April 29 BoC decision, with energy costs and wage pressures pivotal for the year's trajectory.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,800วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 18, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Polymarket traders price a modest 30% implied probability on Canada annual CPI inflation landing in the 3.5-3.9% range for 2026, reflecting fragmented sentiment amid recent volatility. February 2026 year-over-year CPI eased to 1.8%—down from January's 2.3% on base effects—while core measures held near 2.3%, but Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem noted yesterday an expected March acceleration below 3% driven by spiking gas prices. Elevated household three-year inflation expectations at 3.8% signal stickiness risks, differentiating higher bins from sub-2% outcomes vulnerable to further monetary easing from the steady 2.25% policy rate. Key swing factors include April 20 CPI release and the April 29 BoC decision, with energy costs and wage pressures pivotal for the year's trajectory.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,800วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 18, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a modest 30% implied probability on Canada annual CPI inflation landing in the 3.5-3.9% range for 2026, reflecting fragmented sentiment amid recent volatility. February 2026 year-over-year CPI eased to 1.8%—down from January's 2.3% on base effects—while core measures held near 2.3%, but Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem noted yesterday an expected March acceleration below 3% driven by spiking gas prices. Elevated household three-year inflation expectations at 3.8% signal stickiness risks, differentiating higher bins from sub-2% outcomes vulnerable to further monetary easing from the steady 2.25% policy rate. Key swing factors include April 20 CPI release and the April 29 BoC decision, with energy costs and wage pressures pivotal for the year's trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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