Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions have lifted headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, pushing Bank of Canada 2026 inflation projections about 0.3 percentage points higher than January estimates toward roughly 2.3%. The central bank is holding its policy rate at 2.25% and looking through the transitory energy shock, citing subdued core measures near 2.1% and weak domestic growth that limit pass-through to broader prices. With labor market slack persisting and no clear signal on rate adjustments through year-end, trader sentiment remains divided across inflation ranges, as resolution hinges on whether oil-driven pressures fade by late 2026 or spill over more durably.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCanada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 33.5%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.9%
$16,471 ปริมาณ
$16,471 ปริมาณ
<1.0%
33%
1.0–1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
38%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
36%
3.0-3.4%
33%
3.5-3.9%
33%
4.0%+
1%
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 33.5%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.9%
$16,471 ปริมาณ
$16,471 ปริมาณ
<1.0%
33%
1.0–1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
38%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
36%
3.0-3.4%
33%
3.5-3.9%
33%
4.0%+
1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions have lifted headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, pushing Bank of Canada 2026 inflation projections about 0.3 percentage points higher than January estimates toward roughly 2.3%. The central bank is holding its policy rate at 2.25% and looking through the transitory energy shock, citing subdued core measures near 2.1% and weak domestic growth that limit pass-through to broader prices. With labor market slack persisting and no clear signal on rate adjustments through year-end, trader sentiment remains divided across inflation ranges, as resolution hinges on whether oil-driven pressures fade by late 2026 or spill over more durably.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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