Recent April 2026 CPI data at 2.8% year-over-year, up from 2.4% in March, combined with Bank of Canada projections for headline inflation averaging near 3% amid elevated gasoline prices from Middle East supply disruptions, anchor trader focus on the 1.5–1.9% and 3.5–3.9% bins. These closely matched outcomes (39.5% and 34.3% implied probability) reflect uncertainty over whether energy effects prove transitory or broaden into core measures, alongside soft Q1 growth, persistent excess supply, and potential U.S. tariff impacts. Market-implied odds price in a gradual return toward the 2% target by 2027, tempered by the BoC’s June hold at 2.25% and options for policy nimbleness. Upcoming May CPI and July MPR updates remain key swing factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 34.3%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.8%
$16,471 ปริมาณ
$16,471 ปริมาณ
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
33%
1.0–1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
39%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
34%
3.0-3.4%
31%
3.5-3.9%
34%
4.0%+
1%
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 34.3%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.8%
$16,471 ปริมาณ
$16,471 ปริมาณ
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
$339 ปริมาณ
33%
1.0–1.4%
$360 ปริมาณ
6%
1.5–1.9%
$656 ปริมาณ
39%
2.0–2.4%
$468 ปริมาณ
20%
2.5–2.9%
$502 ปริมาณ
34%
3.0-3.4%
$13,465 ปริมาณ
31%
3.5-3.9%
$287 ปริมาณ
34%
4.0%+
$395 ปริมาณ
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent April 2026 CPI data at 2.8% year-over-year, up from 2.4% in March, combined with Bank of Canada projections for headline inflation averaging near 3% amid elevated gasoline prices from Middle East supply disruptions, anchor trader focus on the 1.5–1.9% and 3.5–3.9% bins. These closely matched outcomes (39.5% and 34.3% implied probability) reflect uncertainty over whether energy effects prove transitory or broaden into core measures, alongside soft Q1 growth, persistent excess supply, and potential U.S. tariff impacts. Market-implied odds price in a gradual return toward the 2% target by 2027, tempered by the BoC’s June hold at 2.25% and options for policy nimbleness. Upcoming May CPI and July MPR updates remain key swing factors.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,471วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 18, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent April 2026 CPI data at 2.8% year-over-year, up from 2.4% in March, combined with Bank of Canada projections for headline inflation averaging near 3% amid elevated gasoline prices from Middle East supply disruptions, anchor trader focus on the 1.5–1.9% and 3.5–3.9% bins. These closely matched outcomes (39.5% and 34.3% implied probability) reflect uncertainty over whether energy effects prove transitory or broaden into core measures, alongside soft Q1 growth, persistent excess supply, and potential U.S. tariff impacts. Market-implied odds price in a gradual return toward the 2% target by 2027, tempered by the BoC’s June hold at 2.25% and options for policy nimbleness. Upcoming May CPI and July MPR updates remain key swing factors.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,471วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 18, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April 2026 CPI data at 2.8% year-over-year, up from 2.4% in March, combined with Bank of Canada projections for headline inflation averaging near 3% amid elevated gasoline prices from Middle East supply disruptions, anchor trader focus on the 1.5–1.9% and 3.5–3.9% bins. These closely matched outcomes (39.5% and 34.3% implied probability) reflect uncertainty over whether energy effects prove transitory or broaden into core measures, alongside soft Q1 growth, persistent excess supply, and potential U.S. tariff impacts. Market-implied odds price in a gradual return toward the 2% target by 2027, tempered by the BoC’s June hold at 2.25% and options for policy nimbleness. Upcoming May CPI and July MPR updates remain key swing factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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