Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 69.5% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 over 2025's 246,000 total, driven by Q1's 95,000+ job cuts across 241 events—up 40% year-over-year per TrueUp tracker—with a blistering 888 daily average versus 2025's 674. AI automation accounts for nearly half, enabling workforce optimization at profitable giants like Amazon (16,000 cuts), Oracle (30,000), and recent April actions at Snap (1,000), UKG (950), and others shifting resources to artificial intelligence infrastructure. Meta's planned May 20 kickoff of 8,000 layoffs (10% of staff) signals more ahead, while Q2 earnings calls loom as key catalysts for sentiment swings amid ongoing efficiency pushes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUp
$22,851 ปริมาณ
$22,851 ปริมาณ
Feb 28, 2027
Up
$22,851 ปริมาณ
$22,851 ปริมาณ
Feb 28, 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 69.5% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 over 2025's 246,000 total, driven by Q1's 95,000+ job cuts across 241 events—up 40% year-over-year per TrueUp tracker—with a blistering 888 daily average versus 2025's 674. AI automation accounts for nearly half, enabling workforce optimization at profitable giants like Amazon (16,000 cuts), Oracle (30,000), and recent April actions at Snap (1,000), UKG (950), and others shifting resources to artificial intelligence infrastructure. Meta's planned May 20 kickoff of 8,000 layoffs (10% of staff) signals more ahead, while Q2 earnings calls loom as key catalysts for sentiment swings amid ongoing efficiency pushes.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,851วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 28, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 69.5% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 over 2025's 246,000 total, driven by Q1's 95,000+ job cuts across 241 events—up 40% year-over-year per TrueUp tracker—with a blistering 888 daily average versus 2025's 674. AI automation accounts for nearly half, enabling workforce optimization at profitable giants like Amazon (16,000 cuts), Oracle (30,000), and recent April actions at Snap (1,000), UKG (950), and others shifting resources to artificial intelligence infrastructure. Meta's planned May 20 kickoff of 8,000 layoffs (10% of staff) signals more ahead, while Q2 earnings calls loom as key catalysts for sentiment swings amid ongoing efficiency pushes.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,851วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 28, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 69.5% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 over 2025's 246,000 total, driven by Q1's 95,000+ job cuts across 241 events—up 40% year-over-year per TrueUp tracker—with a blistering 888 daily average versus 2025's 674. AI automation accounts for nearly half, enabling workforce optimization at profitable giants like Amazon (16,000 cuts), Oracle (30,000), and recent April actions at Snap (1,000), UKG (950), and others shifting resources to artificial intelligence infrastructure. Meta's planned May 20 kickoff of 8,000 layoffs (10% of staff) signals more ahead, while Q2 earnings calls loom as key catalysts for sentiment swings amid ongoing efficiency pushes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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