OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and subsequent internal shift toward a potential 2027 listing at a targeted $1 trillion valuation represent the dominant factors shaping trader pricing. Following the March 2026 $122 billion private round that established an $852 billion post-money valuation, the company has already secured substantial capital to fund operations amid projected 2026 losses near $14 billion, lowering the immediate need for outsized public proceeds. Market-implied odds favoring a raise below $30 billion at 41.9% reflect this reduced urgency alongside broader uncertainty over timing, regulatory readiness, and equity market conditions, while the $40–50 billion tranche at 23.1% aligns with earlier preliminary discussions of a $60 billion floor. Upcoming catalysts include any further S-1 amendments or macroeconomic data influencing risk appetite for large tech listings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 41.5%
$100B+ 35%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$60B–$70B 8%
<$30B
42%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
8%
$80B–$90B
21%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
35%
<$30B 41.5%
$100B+ 35%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$60B–$70B 8%
<$30B
42%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
8%
$80B–$90B
21%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
35%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and subsequent internal shift toward a potential 2027 listing at a targeted $1 trillion valuation represent the dominant factors shaping trader pricing. Following the March 2026 $122 billion private round that established an $852 billion post-money valuation, the company has already secured substantial capital to fund operations amid projected 2026 losses near $14 billion, lowering the immediate need for outsized public proceeds. Market-implied odds favoring a raise below $30 billion at 41.9% reflect this reduced urgency alongside broader uncertainty over timing, regulatory readiness, and equity market conditions, while the $40–50 billion tranche at 23.1% aligns with earlier preliminary discussions of a $60 billion floor. Upcoming catalysts include any further S-1 amendments or macroeconomic data influencing risk appetite for large tech listings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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