Sam Altman’s September 2026 statements that OpenAI will not pursue a public listing this year, citing AI safety and alignment priorities, represent the dominant factor anchoring current market-implied odds. The company’s June confidential S-1 filing and earlier banker discussions targeting up to $1 trillion valuation have given way to preparations for another private round potentially at $1.5 trillion, which could defer or enlarge the eventual IPO proceeds. Traders appear to price in a substantial capital raise once the offering occurs, consistent with OpenAI’s $852 billion March 2026 round and ambitions to fund compute-intensive growth, while the $100 billion-plus outcome leads as participants weigh precedents from mega-cap tech debuts against regulatory and market-timing risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$100B+ 37%
<$30B 31.3%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$70B–$80B 8.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2027
<$30B
31%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
17%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
7%
$70B–$80B
9%
$80B–$90B
21%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
44%
$100B+ 37%
<$30B 31.3%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$70B–$80B 8.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2027
<$30B
$603 ปริมาณ
31%
$30B–$40B
$463 ปริมาณ
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 ปริมาณ
17%
$50B–$60B
$1,153 ปริมาณ
6%
$60B–$70B
$499 ปริมาณ
7%
$70B–$80B
$489 ปริมาณ
9%
$80B–$90B
$448 ปริมาณ
21%
$90B–$100B
$306 ปริมาณ
3%
$100B+
$1,957 ปริมาณ
44%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman’s September 2026 statements that OpenAI will not pursue a public listing this year, citing AI safety and alignment priorities, represent the dominant factor anchoring current market-implied odds. The company’s June confidential S-1 filing and earlier banker discussions targeting up to $1 trillion valuation have given way to preparations for another private round potentially at $1.5 trillion, which could defer or enlarge the eventual IPO proceeds. Traders appear to price in a substantial capital raise once the offering occurs, consistent with OpenAI’s $852 billion March 2026 round and ambitions to fund compute-intensive growth, while the $100 billion-plus outcome leads as participants weigh precedents from mega-cap tech debuts against regulatory and market-timing risks.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,539วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman’s September 2026 statements that OpenAI will not pursue a public listing this year, citing AI safety and alignment priorities, represent the dominant factor anchoring current market-implied odds. The company’s June confidential S-1 filing and earlier banker discussions targeting up to $1 trillion valuation have given way to preparations for another private round potentially at $1.5 trillion, which could defer or enlarge the eventual IPO proceeds. Traders appear to price in a substantial capital raise once the offering occurs, consistent with OpenAI’s $852 billion March 2026 round and ambitions to fund compute-intensive growth, while the $100 billion-plus outcome leads as participants weigh precedents from mega-cap tech debuts against regulatory and market-timing risks.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,539วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Sam Altman’s September 2026 statements that OpenAI will not pursue a public listing this year, citing AI safety and alignment priorities, represent the dominant factor anchoring current market-implied odds. The company’s June confidential S-1 filing and earlier banker discussions targeting up to $1 trillion valuation have given way to preparations for another private round potentially at $1.5 trillion, which could defer or enlarge the eventual IPO proceeds. Traders appear to price in a substantial capital raise once the offering occurs, consistent with OpenAI’s $852 billion March 2026 round and ambitions to fund compute-intensive growth, while the $100 billion-plus outcome leads as participants weigh precedents from mega-cap tech debuts against regulatory and market-timing risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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