OpenAI’s recent confidential SEC filing on June 8, 2026, combined with its March $852 billion private valuation, anchors trader sentiment around IPO timing and multiples amid intense AI-sector demand. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s higher recent raise near $965 billion and SpaceX’s parallel listing fuels debate over whether OpenAI’s ChatGPT-driven revenue trajectory—projected to reach tens of billions—can support $2 trillion-plus outcomes or face pressure from sustained losses and a potential $1 trillion target range. Market-implied odds reflect broad bullish AI benchmarks while acknowledging risks from execution delays, regulatory scrutiny, or shifts in large-language-model adoption. Key catalysts ahead include any public S-1 details and Q4 2026 listing windows that could clarify final valuation thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$2.0T–$2.25T 29%
$1.75T–$2.0T 21%
<$1T 18%
$1.25T–$1.5T 16%
<$1T
21%
$1.0T–$1.25T
13%
$1.25T–$1.5T
16%
$1.5T–$1.75T
13%
$1.75T–$2.0T
21%
$2.0T–$2.25T
29%
$2.25T–$2.5T
11%
$2.5T+
11%
$2.0T–$2.25T 29%
$1.75T–$2.0T 21%
<$1T 18%
$1.25T–$1.5T 16%
<$1T
21%
$1.0T–$1.25T
13%
$1.25T–$1.5T
16%
$1.5T–$1.75T
13%
$1.75T–$2.0T
21%
$2.0T–$2.25T
29%
$2.25T–$2.5T
11%
$2.5T+
11%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s recent confidential SEC filing on June 8, 2026, combined with its March $852 billion private valuation, anchors trader sentiment around IPO timing and multiples amid intense AI-sector demand. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s higher recent raise near $965 billion and SpaceX’s parallel listing fuels debate over whether OpenAI’s ChatGPT-driven revenue trajectory—projected to reach tens of billions—can support $2 trillion-plus outcomes or face pressure from sustained losses and a potential $1 trillion target range. Market-implied odds reflect broad bullish AI benchmarks while acknowledging risks from execution delays, regulatory scrutiny, or shifts in large-language-model adoption. Key catalysts ahead include any public S-1 details and Q4 2026 listing windows that could clarify final valuation thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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