OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment amid regulatory and societal pressures, represent the dominant factor shaping current market-implied odds. The company’s March 2026 private round closed at an $852 billion valuation after a $122 billion raise led by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, yet Altman has treated any debut below $1 trillion as a nonstarter, favoring a 2027 timeline. These dynamics support the tight clustering of probabilities across the $1.5T–$2T+ brackets, reflecting trader consensus on substantial upside from infrastructure commitments and revenue growth once listing occurs, tempered by execution risks and broader tech-market conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 20.8%
$1.25T–$1.5T 17.1%
$2.5T+ 15.7%
$143,077 ปริมาณ
$143,077 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
<$1T
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
12%
$1.25T–$1.5T
17%
$1.5T–$1.75T
21%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
3%
$2.25T–$2.5T
6%
$2.5T+
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 20.8%
$1.25T–$1.5T 17.1%
$2.5T+ 15.7%
$143,077 ปริมาณ
$143,077 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
<$1T
$26,512 ปริมาณ
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$17,093 ปริมาณ
12%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$8,394 ปริมาณ
17%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,300 ปริมาณ
21%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,600 ปริมาณ
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,668 ปริมาณ
3%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$8,484 ปริมาณ
6%
$2.5T+
$59,025 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment amid regulatory and societal pressures, represent the dominant factor shaping current market-implied odds. The company’s March 2026 private round closed at an $852 billion valuation after a $122 billion raise led by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, yet Altman has treated any debut below $1 trillion as a nonstarter, favoring a 2027 timeline. These dynamics support the tight clustering of probabilities across the $1.5T–$2T+ brackets, reflecting trader consensus on substantial upside from infrastructure commitments and revenue growth once listing occurs, tempered by execution risks and broader tech-market conditions.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$143,077วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment amid regulatory and societal pressures, represent the dominant factor shaping current market-implied odds. The company’s March 2026 private round closed at an $852 billion valuation after a $122 billion raise led by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, yet Altman has treated any debut below $1 trillion as a nonstarter, favoring a 2027 timeline. These dynamics support the tight clustering of probabilities across the $1.5T–$2T+ brackets, reflecting trader consensus on substantial upside from infrastructure commitments and revenue growth once listing occurs, tempered by execution risks and broader tech-market conditions.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$143,077วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment amid regulatory and societal pressures, represent the dominant factor shaping current market-implied odds. The company’s March 2026 private round closed at an $852 billion valuation after a $122 billion raise led by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, yet Altman has treated any debut below $1 trillion as a nonstarter, favoring a 2027 timeline. These dynamics support the tight clustering of probabilities across the $1.5T–$2T+ brackets, reflecting trader consensus on substantial upside from infrastructure commitments and revenue growth once listing occurs, tempered by execution risks and broader tech-market conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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