Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects fragmented sentiment for OpenAI's IPO closing market cap by December 31, 2027, with no IPO leading at a slim 28.5% implied probability ahead of 500–750B at 23.5%, underscoring intense uncertainty from internal leadership rifts. CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 listing push collides with CFO Sarah Friar's cautions on risks tied to $121 billion projected 2028 compute spend, $14 billion 2026 losses, and profitability delayed to 2029, amplifying execution doubts. The March 31 $122 billion funding round at $852 billion post-money valuation props up 750B–1T (18.5%) and higher bins, differentiating via enterprise pivot potential versus competitive pressures from Anthropic and regulatory scrutiny; watch for S-1 filing and cap table dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo IPO by December 31, 2027 28%
750B–1T 24%
1T–1.25T 14%
1.25T–1.5T 11%
$14,113 ปริมาณ
$14,113 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
7%
500–750B
24%
750B–1T
24%
1T–1.25T
17%
1.25T–1.5T
11%
1.5T+
14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
28%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 28%
750B–1T 24%
1T–1.25T 14%
1.25T–1.5T 11%
$14,113 ปริมาณ
$14,113 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$62 ปริมาณ
7%
500–750B
$84 ปริมาณ
24%
750B–1T
$97 ปริมาณ
24%
1T–1.25T
$2,920 ปริมาณ
17%
1.25T–1.5T
$126 ปริมาณ
11%
1.5T+
$42 ปริมาณ
14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$10,783 ปริมาณ
28%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects fragmented sentiment for OpenAI's IPO closing market cap by December 31, 2027, with no IPO leading at a slim 28.5% implied probability ahead of 500–750B at 23.5%, underscoring intense uncertainty from internal leadership rifts. CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 listing push collides with CFO Sarah Friar's cautions on risks tied to $121 billion projected 2028 compute spend, $14 billion 2026 losses, and profitability delayed to 2029, amplifying execution doubts. The March 31 $122 billion funding round at $852 billion post-money valuation props up 750B–1T (18.5%) and higher bins, differentiating via enterprise pivot potential versus competitive pressures from Anthropic and regulatory scrutiny; watch for S-1 filing and cap table dynamics.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,113วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects fragmented sentiment for OpenAI's IPO closing market cap by December 31, 2027, with no IPO leading at a slim 28.5% implied probability ahead of 500–750B at 23.5%, underscoring intense uncertainty from internal leadership rifts. CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 listing push collides with CFO Sarah Friar's cautions on risks tied to $121 billion projected 2028 compute spend, $14 billion 2026 losses, and profitability delayed to 2029, amplifying execution doubts. The March 31 $122 billion funding round at $852 billion post-money valuation props up 750B–1T (18.5%) and higher bins, differentiating via enterprise pivot potential versus competitive pressures from Anthropic and regulatory scrutiny; watch for S-1 filing and cap table dynamics.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,113วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects fragmented sentiment for OpenAI's IPO closing market cap by December 31, 2027, with no IPO leading at a slim 28.5% implied probability ahead of 500–750B at 23.5%, underscoring intense uncertainty from internal leadership rifts. CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 listing push collides with CFO Sarah Friar's cautions on risks tied to $121 billion projected 2028 compute spend, $14 billion 2026 losses, and profitability delayed to 2029, amplifying execution doubts. The March 31 $122 billion funding round at $852 billion post-money valuation props up 750B–1T (18.5%) and higher bins, differentiating via enterprise pivot potential versus competitive pressures from Anthropic and regulatory scrutiny; watch for S-1 filing and cap table dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย