OpenAI's rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $25 billion annualized run rate in early 2026, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage exceeding 40 percent of sales, underpins the market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus IPO closing market cap at 34.5 percent. However, persistent operating losses projected near $14 billion for the year, heavy compute commitments, and a confidential S-1 filing followed by reports of a potential 2027 delay to secure a $1 trillion-plus valuation introduce downside risks reflected in the 9.5 percent probability of no IPO by end-2027 and lower valuation buckets. Trader consensus prices in AI sector momentum and competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic while accounting for execution uncertainty and profitability timelines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว1.5T+ 34.6%
1.25T–1.5T 23%
1T–1.25T 21.1%
750B–1T 11%
$87,991 ปริมาณ
$87,991 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
1%
500–750B
3%
750B–1T
11%
1T–1.25T
21%
1.25T–1.5T
23%
1.5T+
35%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
10%
1.5T+ 34.6%
1.25T–1.5T 23%
1T–1.25T 21.1%
750B–1T 11%
$87,991 ปริมาณ
$87,991 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$6,134 ปริมาณ
1%
500–750B
$8,207 ปริมาณ
3%
750B–1T
$9,178 ปริมาณ
11%
1T–1.25T
$13,974 ปริมาณ
21%
1.25T–1.5T
$8,540 ปริมาณ
23%
1.5T+
$22,625 ปริมาณ
35%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$19,333 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $25 billion annualized run rate in early 2026, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage exceeding 40 percent of sales, underpins the market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus IPO closing market cap at 34.5 percent. However, persistent operating losses projected near $14 billion for the year, heavy compute commitments, and a confidential S-1 filing followed by reports of a potential 2027 delay to secure a $1 trillion-plus valuation introduce downside risks reflected in the 9.5 percent probability of no IPO by end-2027 and lower valuation buckets. Trader consensus prices in AI sector momentum and competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic while accounting for execution uncertainty and profitability timelines.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$87,991วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $25 billion annualized run rate in early 2026, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage exceeding 40 percent of sales, underpins the market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus IPO closing market cap at 34.5 percent. However, persistent operating losses projected near $14 billion for the year, heavy compute commitments, and a confidential S-1 filing followed by reports of a potential 2027 delay to secure a $1 trillion-plus valuation introduce downside risks reflected in the 9.5 percent probability of no IPO by end-2027 and lower valuation buckets. Trader consensus prices in AI sector momentum and competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic while accounting for execution uncertainty and profitability timelines.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$87,991วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $25 billion annualized run rate in early 2026, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage exceeding 40 percent of sales, underpins the market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus IPO closing market cap at 34.5 percent. However, persistent operating losses projected near $14 billion for the year, heavy compute commitments, and a confidential S-1 filing followed by reports of a potential 2027 delay to secure a $1 trillion-plus valuation introduce downside risks reflected in the 9.5 percent probability of no IPO by end-2027 and lower valuation buckets. Trader consensus prices in AI sector momentum and competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic while accounting for execution uncertainty and profitability timelines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย