Recent private funding at a $190 billion valuation in August 2026, alongside accelerating revenue above $7 billion run-rate and 80%+ year-over-year growth, underpins the balanced 48.5% odds across Databricks IPO closing market-cap brackets. CEO comments in June 2026 explicitly deferred a 2026 listing amid competing mega-offerings from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic, pushing resolution toward 2027 and elevating the 33.5% "no IPO by end-2027" probability. With no S-1 filed and private multiples near 27x revenue exceeding Snowflake's, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over public-market reception, potential valuation compression or expansion at debut, and timing of any eventual listing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$200B-$250B 99%
$250B-$300B 99%
$300B-$350B 99%
$350B-$400B 99%
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
99%
$250B-$300B
99%
$300B-$350B
99%
$350B-$400B
99%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
45%
$200B-$250B 99%
$250B-$300B 99%
$300B-$350B 99%
$350B-$400B 99%
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
99%
$250B-$300B
99%
$300B-$350B
99%
$350B-$400B
99%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
45%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent private funding at a $190 billion valuation in August 2026, alongside accelerating revenue above $7 billion run-rate and 80%+ year-over-year growth, underpins the balanced 48.5% odds across Databricks IPO closing market-cap brackets. CEO comments in June 2026 explicitly deferred a 2026 listing amid competing mega-offerings from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic, pushing resolution toward 2027 and elevating the 33.5% "no IPO by end-2027" probability. With no S-1 filed and private multiples near 27x revenue exceeding Snowflake's, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over public-market reception, potential valuation compression or expansion at debut, and timing of any eventual listing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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