Mexico's annual inflation has eased markedly in 2026, reaching 3.12% in July and 3.37% in June after readings near 4% earlier in the year, pulling market-implied odds toward the 3.50–3.99% band. Banxico has held its policy rate at 6.50% since the latest cut, citing persistent core inflation near 4%, services price stickiness, and upside risks from trade policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and potential weather shocks. With headline inflation already inside the 2–4% target range and forecasts pointing to further gradual convergence toward 3% only by late 2027, traders price a modest rebound or stabilization through year-end that keeps the full-year average above the lower ranges while capping the probability of outcomes above 4.5%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMexico Annual Inflation 2026
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.50% to 3.99% 34.3%
3.00% to 3.49% 22.2%
4.00% to 4.49% 15%
4.50% to 4.99% 9%
$61,296 ปริมาณ
$61,296 ปริมาณ
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
22%
3.50% to 3.99%
34%
4.00% to 4.49%
15%
4.50% to 4.99%
9%
5.00% to 5.49%
7%
5.50%+
3%
3.50% to 3.99% 34.3%
3.00% to 3.49% 22.2%
4.00% to 4.49% 15%
4.50% to 4.99% 9%
$61,296 ปริมาณ
$61,296 ปริมาณ
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
$1,053 ปริมาณ
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,887 ปริมาณ
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
$27,430 ปริมาณ
22%
3.50% to 3.99%
$3,769 ปริมาณ
34%
4.00% to 4.49%
$10,677 ปริมาณ
15%
4.50% to 4.99%
$4,745 ปริมาณ
9%
5.00% to 5.49%
$2,429 ปริมาณ
7%
5.50%+
$6,305 ปริมาณ
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioMexico's annual inflation has eased markedly in 2026, reaching 3.12% in July and 3.37% in June after readings near 4% earlier in the year, pulling market-implied odds toward the 3.50–3.99% band. Banxico has held its policy rate at 6.50% since the latest cut, citing persistent core inflation near 4%, services price stickiness, and upside risks from trade policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and potential weather shocks. With headline inflation already inside the 2–4% target range and forecasts pointing to further gradual convergence toward 3% only by late 2027, traders price a modest rebound or stabilization through year-end that keeps the full-year average above the lower ranges while capping the probability of outcomes above 4.5%.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,296วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 8, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioMexico's annual inflation has eased markedly in 2026, reaching 3.12% in July and 3.37% in June after readings near 4% earlier in the year, pulling market-implied odds toward the 3.50–3.99% band. Banxico has held its policy rate at 6.50% since the latest cut, citing persistent core inflation near 4%, services price stickiness, and upside risks from trade policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and potential weather shocks. With headline inflation already inside the 2–4% target range and forecasts pointing to further gradual convergence toward 3% only by late 2027, traders price a modest rebound or stabilization through year-end that keeps the full-year average above the lower ranges while capping the probability of outcomes above 4.5%.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,296วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 8, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mexico's annual inflation has eased markedly in 2026, reaching 3.12% in July and 3.37% in June after readings near 4% earlier in the year, pulling market-implied odds toward the 3.50–3.99% band. Banxico has held its policy rate at 6.50% since the latest cut, citing persistent core inflation near 4%, services price stickiness, and upside risks from trade policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and potential weather shocks. With headline inflation already inside the 2–4% target range and forecasts pointing to further gradual convergence toward 3% only by late 2027, traders price a modest rebound or stabilization through year-end that keeps the full-year average above the lower ranges while capping the probability of outcomes above 4.5%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย