Recent July employment data showing a 4.1% unemployment rate—below consensus forecasts—and a -23,000 decline in nonfarm payrolls have anchored trader expectations for the August reading near recent levels. The labor force contraction and subdued hiring reflect a cooling market equilibrium amid modest GDP growth, with forecasters projecting stability around 4.4-4.5% for 2026 overall. Market-implied odds remain closely contested between 4.1% and 4.2% because participants weigh persistent labor-market slack against potential stabilization from earlier monetary easing and fiscal measures. Key upcoming catalysts include the August BLS release and any shifts in Fed communications on rate paths tied to employment thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAugust Unemployment Rate
August Unemployment Rate
4.1% 37%
4.2% 27%
4.0% 20%
4.3% 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
≤3.8%
2%
3.9%
2%
4.0%
20%
4.1%
37%
4.2%
27%
4.3%
10%
4.4%
6%
4.5%
4%
≥4.6%
2%
4.1% 37%
4.2% 27%
4.0% 20%
4.3% 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
≤3.8%
$90 ปริมาณ
2%
3.9%
$81 ปริมาณ
2%
4.0%
$429 ปริมาณ
20%
4.1%
$2,010 ปริมาณ
37%
4.2%
$808 ปริมาณ
27%
4.3%
$266 ปริมาณ
10%
4.4%
$113 ปริมาณ
6%
4.5%
$112 ปริมาณ
4%
≥4.6%
$92 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July employment data showing a 4.1% unemployment rate—below consensus forecasts—and a -23,000 decline in nonfarm payrolls have anchored trader expectations for the August reading near recent levels. The labor force contraction and subdued hiring reflect a cooling market equilibrium amid modest GDP growth, with forecasters projecting stability around 4.4-4.5% for 2026 overall. Market-implied odds remain closely contested between 4.1% and 4.2% because participants weigh persistent labor-market slack against potential stabilization from earlier monetary easing and fiscal measures. Key upcoming catalysts include the August BLS release and any shifts in Fed communications on rate paths tied to employment thresholds.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,001วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July employment data showing a 4.1% unemployment rate—below consensus forecasts—and a -23,000 decline in nonfarm payrolls have anchored trader expectations for the August reading near recent levels. The labor force contraction and subdued hiring reflect a cooling market equilibrium amid modest GDP growth, with forecasters projecting stability around 4.4-4.5% for 2026 overall. Market-implied odds remain closely contested between 4.1% and 4.2% because participants weigh persistent labor-market slack against potential stabilization from earlier monetary easing and fiscal measures. Key upcoming catalysts include the August BLS release and any shifts in Fed communications on rate paths tied to employment thresholds.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,001วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July employment data showing a 4.1% unemployment rate—below consensus forecasts—and a -23,000 decline in nonfarm payrolls have anchored trader expectations for the August reading near recent levels. The labor force contraction and subdued hiring reflect a cooling market equilibrium amid modest GDP growth, with forecasters projecting stability around 4.4-4.5% for 2026 overall. Market-implied odds remain closely contested between 4.1% and 4.2% because participants weigh persistent labor-market slack against potential stabilization from earlier monetary easing and fiscal measures. Key upcoming catalysts include the August BLS release and any shifts in Fed communications on rate paths tied to employment thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย