Recent July CPI data cooling to 3.4% year-over-year from 3.5% has anchored trader expectations for the August print near current levels, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 3.36%. Muted monthly gains in shelter and energy components, alongside a core rate at 2.5%, support the market's tight clustering around 3.3-3.4% as the base case. Persistent above-target readings continue to influence Fed policy deliberations, while upcoming August economic releases and any shifts in commodity prices or labor costs represent key swing factors that could tilt the outcome. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning backed by real capital amid these near-term data dependencies.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAugust Inflation US - Annual
August Inflation US - Annual
3.4% 37%
3.3% 28%
3.5% 18%
3.6% 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
3%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
2%
3.2%
5%
3.3%
28%
3.4%
37%
3.5%
18%
3.6%
7%
3.7%
5%
3.8%
5%
3.9%
3%
≥4.0%
2%
3.4% 37%
3.3% 28%
3.5% 18%
3.6% 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
$72 ปริมาณ
3%
3.0%
$72 ปริมาณ
4%
3.1%
$72 ปริมาณ
2%
3.2%
$72 ปริมาณ
5%
3.3%
$313 ปริมาณ
28%
3.4%
$1,561 ปริมาณ
37%
3.5%
$200 ปริมาณ
18%
3.6%
$72 ปริมาณ
7%
3.7%
$171 ปริมาณ
5%
3.8%
$192 ปริมาณ
5%
3.9%
$192 ปริมาณ
3%
≥4.0%
$64 ปริมาณ
2%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data cooling to 3.4% year-over-year from 3.5% has anchored trader expectations for the August print near current levels, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 3.36%. Muted monthly gains in shelter and energy components, alongside a core rate at 2.5%, support the market's tight clustering around 3.3-3.4% as the base case. Persistent above-target readings continue to influence Fed policy deliberations, while upcoming August economic releases and any shifts in commodity prices or labor costs represent key swing factors that could tilt the outcome. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning backed by real capital amid these near-term data dependencies.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,051วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data cooling to 3.4% year-over-year from 3.5% has anchored trader expectations for the August print near current levels, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 3.36%. Muted monthly gains in shelter and energy components, alongside a core rate at 2.5%, support the market's tight clustering around 3.3-3.4% as the base case. Persistent above-target readings continue to influence Fed policy deliberations, while upcoming August economic releases and any shifts in commodity prices or labor costs represent key swing factors that could tilt the outcome. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning backed by real capital amid these near-term data dependencies.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,051วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data cooling to 3.4% year-over-year from 3.5% has anchored trader expectations for the August print near current levels, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 3.36%. Muted monthly gains in shelter and energy components, alongside a core rate at 2.5%, support the market's tight clustering around 3.3-3.4% as the base case. Persistent above-target readings continue to influence Fed policy deliberations, while upcoming August economic releases and any shifts in commodity prices or labor costs represent key swing factors that could tilt the outcome. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning backed by real capital amid these near-term data dependencies.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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