Polymarket traders price a closely contested race for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with the 30.0-34.9% bin leading at 24.6% implied probability ahead of 25-29.9% at 20.0%, reflecting uncertainty over sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity amid recent upside pressures. INDEC's March 2026 CPI revealed a 3.4% monthly rise—the year's highest—driven by fuel and education costs from global energy shocks, including Iran war-related oil spikes, lifting Q1 cumulative inflation to 9.4% and year-to-date YoY to 32.6%. Forecasts diverged post-release, with Reuters poll median at 30%, central bank survey at 29.1%, and BBVA revising to 24%, highlighting swings from monthly persistence below 3% versus reacceleration risks. April CPI (due mid-May) and BCRA rate decisions loom as pivotal catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArgentina Annual Inflation 2026
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
25-29.9% 20%
30.0-34.9% 19.8%
35–39.9% 16.7%
20-24.9% 14.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
8%
20-24.9%
15%
25-29.9%
25%
30.0-34.9%
25%
35–39.9%
17%
40-44.9%
13%
45%+
7%
25-29.9% 20%
30.0-34.9% 19.8%
35–39.9% 16.7%
20-24.9% 14.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
$2,405 ปริมาณ
8%
20-24.9%
$1,331 ปริมาณ
15%
25-29.9%
$1,346 ปริมาณ
25%
30.0-34.9%
$809 ปริมาณ
25%
35–39.9%
$780 ปริมาณ
17%
40-44.9%
$884 ปริมาณ
13%
45%+
$985 ปริมาณ
7%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price a closely contested race for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with the 30.0-34.9% bin leading at 24.6% implied probability ahead of 25-29.9% at 20.0%, reflecting uncertainty over sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity amid recent upside pressures. INDEC's March 2026 CPI revealed a 3.4% monthly rise—the year's highest—driven by fuel and education costs from global energy shocks, including Iran war-related oil spikes, lifting Q1 cumulative inflation to 9.4% and year-to-date YoY to 32.6%. Forecasts diverged post-release, with Reuters poll median at 30%, central bank survey at 29.1%, and BBVA revising to 24%, highlighting swings from monthly persistence below 3% versus reacceleration risks. April CPI (due mid-May) and BCRA rate decisions loom as pivotal catalysts.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,540วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 10, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price a closely contested race for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with the 30.0-34.9% bin leading at 24.6% implied probability ahead of 25-29.9% at 20.0%, reflecting uncertainty over sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity amid recent upside pressures. INDEC's March 2026 CPI revealed a 3.4% monthly rise—the year's highest—driven by fuel and education costs from global energy shocks, including Iran war-related oil spikes, lifting Q1 cumulative inflation to 9.4% and year-to-date YoY to 32.6%. Forecasts diverged post-release, with Reuters poll median at 30%, central bank survey at 29.1%, and BBVA revising to 24%, highlighting swings from monthly persistence below 3% versus reacceleration risks. April CPI (due mid-May) and BCRA rate decisions loom as pivotal catalysts.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,540วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 10, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a closely contested race for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with the 30.0-34.9% bin leading at 24.6% implied probability ahead of 25-29.9% at 20.0%, reflecting uncertainty over sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity amid recent upside pressures. INDEC's March 2026 CPI revealed a 3.4% monthly rise—the year's highest—driven by fuel and education costs from global energy shocks, including Iran war-related oil spikes, lifting Q1 cumulative inflation to 9.4% and year-to-date YoY to 32.6%. Forecasts diverged post-release, with Reuters poll median at 30%, central bank survey at 29.1%, and BBVA revising to 24%, highlighting swings from monthly persistence below 3% versus reacceleration risks. April CPI (due mid-May) and BCRA rate decisions loom as pivotal catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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