Argentina's monthly inflation has followed a disinflation path under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening, with June 2026 printing at 1.9% month-over-month and July year-over-year at 33.8%. This trajectory, supported by a primary fiscal surplus, curtailed subsidies, and contained money supply growth, positions the 1.8-2.0% band as the market-implied favorite. Recent data show core measures easing alongside headline figures despite lingering pressures from regulated prices and exchange-rate sensitivity. Trader consensus, reflected in Polymarket odds, prices in continuity of this trend absent major shocks ahead of the September release, while acknowledging risks from external commodity volatility or policy adjustments that could shift outcomes toward 2.1-2.3%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
1.8-2.0% 55.5%
1.5-1.7% 29.1%
2.1-2.3% 11.3%
≤1.1% <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
29%
1.8-2.0%
56%
2.1-2.3%
11%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
1.8-2.0% 55.5%
1.5-1.7% 29.1%
2.1-2.3% 11.3%
≤1.1% <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
$282 ปริมาณ
1%
1.2-1.4%
$275 ปริมาณ
1%
1.5-1.7%
$1,875 ปริมาณ
29%
1.8-2.0%
$2,506 ปริมาณ
56%
2.1-2.3%
$687 ปริมาณ
11%
2.4-2.6%
$275 ปริมาณ
1%
2.7-2.9%
$275 ปริมาณ
1%
3.0%+
$275 ปริมาณ
1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's monthly inflation has followed a disinflation path under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening, with June 2026 printing at 1.9% month-over-month and July year-over-year at 33.8%. This trajectory, supported by a primary fiscal surplus, curtailed subsidies, and contained money supply growth, positions the 1.8-2.0% band as the market-implied favorite. Recent data show core measures easing alongside headline figures despite lingering pressures from regulated prices and exchange-rate sensitivity. Trader consensus, reflected in Polymarket odds, prices in continuity of this trend absent major shocks ahead of the September release, while acknowledging risks from external commodity volatility or policy adjustments that could shift outcomes toward 2.1-2.3%.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,449วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's monthly inflation has followed a disinflation path under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening, with June 2026 printing at 1.9% month-over-month and July year-over-year at 33.8%. This trajectory, supported by a primary fiscal surplus, curtailed subsidies, and contained money supply growth, positions the 1.8-2.0% band as the market-implied favorite. Recent data show core measures easing alongside headline figures despite lingering pressures from regulated prices and exchange-rate sensitivity. Trader consensus, reflected in Polymarket odds, prices in continuity of this trend absent major shocks ahead of the September release, while acknowledging risks from external commodity volatility or policy adjustments that could shift outcomes toward 2.1-2.3%.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,449วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's monthly inflation has followed a disinflation path under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening, with June 2026 printing at 1.9% month-over-month and July year-over-year at 33.8%. This trajectory, supported by a primary fiscal surplus, curtailed subsidies, and contained money supply growth, positions the 1.8-2.0% band as the market-implied favorite. Recent data show core measures easing alongside headline figures despite lingering pressures from regulated prices and exchange-rate sensitivity. Trader consensus, reflected in Polymarket odds, prices in continuity of this trend absent major shocks ahead of the September release, while acknowledging risks from external commodity volatility or policy adjustments that could shift outcomes toward 2.1-2.3%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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