Polymarket traders price a 41.5% implied probability on China's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 0.6–1.0% range, reflecting Q1 average inflation of 0.9% year-over-year and March's 1.0% print—easing from February's three-year high of 1.3% amid subdued domestic demand. The 20% odds on 1.1–1.5% and 16% on 0.1–0.5% underscore closely contested low-inflation sentiment, boosted by producer prices turning positive at 0.5% in March for the first time in over three years, driven by global energy shocks from Iran tensions. People's Bank of China loose monetary policy supports mild reflation, though property sector weakness caps upside; April CPI data and Q2 GDP will be key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 41%
1.1 – 1.5% 20%
0.1 – 0.5% 16%
2.5%+ 12.8%
$32,704 ปริมาณ
$32,704 ปริมาณ
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
6%
-0.9 – -0.5%
6%
-0.4 – 0.0%
1%
0.1 – 0.5%
16%
0.6 – 1.0%
44%
1.1 – 1.5%
20%
1.6 – 2.0%
7%
2.0-2.4%
6%
2.5%+
13%
0.6 – 1.0% 41%
1.1 – 1.5% 20%
0.1 – 0.5% 16%
2.5%+ 12.8%
$32,704 ปริมาณ
$32,704 ปริมาณ
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
$16,917 ปริมาณ
6%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$1,787 ปริมาณ
6%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$1,832 ปริมาณ
1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$1,869 ปริมาณ
16%
0.6 – 1.0%
$2,055 ปริมาณ
44%
1.1 – 1.5%
$2,379 ปริมาณ
20%
1.6 – 2.0%
$2,544 ปริมาณ
7%
2.0-2.4%
$1,669 ปริมาณ
6%
2.5%+
$1,651 ปริมาณ
13%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders price a 41.5% implied probability on China's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 0.6–1.0% range, reflecting Q1 average inflation of 0.9% year-over-year and March's 1.0% print—easing from February's three-year high of 1.3% amid subdued domestic demand. The 20% odds on 1.1–1.5% and 16% on 0.1–0.5% underscore closely contested low-inflation sentiment, boosted by producer prices turning positive at 0.5% in March for the first time in over three years, driven by global energy shocks from Iran tensions. People's Bank of China loose monetary policy supports mild reflation, though property sector weakness caps upside; April CPI data and Q2 GDP will be key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,704วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 10, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders price a 41.5% implied probability on China's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 0.6–1.0% range, reflecting Q1 average inflation of 0.9% year-over-year and March's 1.0% print—easing from February's three-year high of 1.3% amid subdued domestic demand. The 20% odds on 1.1–1.5% and 16% on 0.1–0.5% underscore closely contested low-inflation sentiment, boosted by producer prices turning positive at 0.5% in March for the first time in over three years, driven by global energy shocks from Iran tensions. People's Bank of China loose monetary policy supports mild reflation, though property sector weakness caps upside; April CPI data and Q2 GDP will be key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,704วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 10, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 41.5% implied probability on China's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 0.6–1.0% range, reflecting Q1 average inflation of 0.9% year-over-year and March's 1.0% print—easing from February's three-year high of 1.3% amid subdued domestic demand. The 20% odds on 1.1–1.5% and 16% on 0.1–0.5% underscore closely contested low-inflation sentiment, boosted by producer prices turning positive at 0.5% in March for the first time in over three years, driven by global energy shocks from Iran tensions. People's Bank of China loose monetary policy supports mild reflation, though property sector weakness caps upside; April CPI data and Q2 GDP will be key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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