Recent July 2026 CPI data showing inflation easing to 0.5% year-over-year—the lowest since January—has reinforced trader positioning around the 0.6–1.0% band for full-year average consumer price growth. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, ongoing property sector pressures, and declining food prices continue to weigh on price pressures, while non-food components have also moderated. Official targets remain near 2%, but actual outcomes have consistently undershot amid subdued consumer spending and structural economic challenges. Forecasts from institutions like the ADB cluster around 1.0–1.2%, yet recent prints and base effects support the market's heavier weighting on sub-1% results. Global energy and commodity influences appear contained for now, with limited scope for sharp upward shifts before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วChina Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 43%
0.1 – 0.5% 17.0%
1.1 – 1.5% 17%
2.0-2.4% 5.5%
$72,219 ปริมาณ
$72,219 ปริมาณ
<-1.0%
5%
-0.9 – -0.5%
2%
-0.4 – 0.0%
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
17%
0.6 – 1.0%
43%
1.1 – 1.5%
17%
1.6 – 2.0%
4%
2.0-2.4%
6%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 43%
0.1 – 0.5% 17.0%
1.1 – 1.5% 17%
2.0-2.4% 5.5%
$72,219 ปริมาณ
$72,219 ปริมาณ
<-1.0%
5%
-0.9 – -0.5%
2%
-0.4 – 0.0%
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
17%
0.6 – 1.0%
43%
1.1 – 1.5%
17%
1.6 – 2.0%
4%
2.0-2.4%
6%
2.5%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July 2026 CPI data showing inflation easing to 0.5% year-over-year—the lowest since January—has reinforced trader positioning around the 0.6–1.0% band for full-year average consumer price growth. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, ongoing property sector pressures, and declining food prices continue to weigh on price pressures, while non-food components have also moderated. Official targets remain near 2%, but actual outcomes have consistently undershot amid subdued consumer spending and structural economic challenges. Forecasts from institutions like the ADB cluster around 1.0–1.2%, yet recent prints and base effects support the market's heavier weighting on sub-1% results. Global energy and commodity influences appear contained for now, with limited scope for sharp upward shifts before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย