Traders see the Federal Open Market Committee holding the federal funds rate steady at its January meeting as the most likely outcome, with a 58% implied probability reflecting steady inflation readings and a resilient labor market that have kept the central bank on hold. Recent economic data releases continue to show core inflation above the 2% target while unemployment remains near historic lows, supporting market pricing that anticipates no immediate policy shift. This consensus aligns with forward-looking signals from Treasury yields and futures markets, where participants weigh the balance between persistent price pressures and moderating growth. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC statement and fresh CPI and employment reports, which could adjust rate expectations if data deviate from current trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFed Decision in January?
Fed Decision in January?
No change 58%
25 bps increase 24%
25 bps decrease 11%
50+ bps decrease 4.6%
$73,246 ปริมาณ
$73,246 ปริมาณ
Jan 27, 2027
50+ bps decrease
5%
25 bps decrease
11%
No change
58%
25 bps increase
24%
50+ bps increase
2%
No change 58%
25 bps increase 24%
25 bps decrease 11%
50+ bps decrease 4.6%
$73,246 ปริมาณ
$73,246 ปริมาณ
Jan 27, 2027
50+ bps decrease
$14,016 ปริมาณ
5%
25 bps decrease
$15,292 ปริมาณ
11%
No change
$21,353 ปริมาณ
58%
25 bps increase
$17,235 ปริมาณ
24%
50+ bps increase
$5,349 ปริมาณ
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders see the Federal Open Market Committee holding the federal funds rate steady at its January meeting as the most likely outcome, with a 58% implied probability reflecting steady inflation readings and a resilient labor market that have kept the central bank on hold. Recent economic data releases continue to show core inflation above the 2% target while unemployment remains near historic lows, supporting market pricing that anticipates no immediate policy shift. This consensus aligns with forward-looking signals from Treasury yields and futures markets, where participants weigh the balance between persistent price pressures and moderating growth. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC statement and fresh CPI and employment reports, which could adjust rate expectations if data deviate from current trends.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,246วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 27, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders see the Federal Open Market Committee holding the federal funds rate steady at its January meeting as the most likely outcome, with a 58% implied probability reflecting steady inflation readings and a resilient labor market that have kept the central bank on hold. Recent economic data releases continue to show core inflation above the 2% target while unemployment remains near historic lows, supporting market pricing that anticipates no immediate policy shift. This consensus aligns with forward-looking signals from Treasury yields and futures markets, where participants weigh the balance between persistent price pressures and moderating growth. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC statement and fresh CPI and employment reports, which could adjust rate expectations if data deviate from current trends.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,246วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 27, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the Federal Open Market Committee holding the federal funds rate steady at its January meeting as the most likely outcome, with a 58% implied probability reflecting steady inflation readings and a resilient labor market that have kept the central bank on hold. Recent economic data releases continue to show core inflation above the 2% target while unemployment remains near historic lows, supporting market pricing that anticipates no immediate policy shift. This consensus aligns with forward-looking signals from Treasury yields and futures markets, where participants weigh the balance between persistent price pressures and moderating growth. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC statement and fresh CPI and employment reports, which could adjust rate expectations if data deviate from current trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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