Trader sentiment for 2026 U.S. real GDP growth remains closely divided between the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% brackets, reflecting uncertainty over whether AI-related capital spending can fully offset moderating consumer outlays and energy-price pressures. Recent data show Q2 growth at a 1.5% annualized rate, with Q3 tracking toward 3% on resilient spending and business investment, while consensus forecasts from the IMF, FOMC median projections, and private economists cluster around 2.0–2.3%. Elevated headline inflation near 3.2–3.7%, driven by energy and core goods, supports a tighter policy stance that could weigh on activity. Geopolitical risks around oil supply add downside potential, whereas sustained productivity gains from AI infrastructure represent the key upside swing factor into year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGDP growth in 2026
GDP growth in 2026
2.0–2.5% 47%
1.5–2.0% 45.1%
>2.5% 7.3%
1.0–1.5% 4.3%
$60,430 ปริมาณ
$60,430 ปริมาณ
Jan 28, 2027
<0.5%
3%
0.5–1.0%
1%
1.0–1.5%
4%
1.5–2.0%
45%
2.0–2.5%
47%
>2.5%
7%
2.0–2.5% 47%
1.5–2.0% 45.1%
>2.5% 7.3%
1.0–1.5% 4.3%
$60,430 ปริมาณ
$60,430 ปริมาณ
Jan 28, 2027
<0.5%
$7,649 ปริมาณ
3%
0.5–1.0%
$17,357 ปริมาณ
1%
1.0–1.5%
$3,941 ปริมาณ
4%
1.5–2.0%
$7,520 ปริมาณ
45%
2.0–2.5%
$7,845 ปริมาณ
47%
>2.5%
$16,119 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for 2026 U.S. real GDP growth remains closely divided between the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% brackets, reflecting uncertainty over whether AI-related capital spending can fully offset moderating consumer outlays and energy-price pressures. Recent data show Q2 growth at a 1.5% annualized rate, with Q3 tracking toward 3% on resilient spending and business investment, while consensus forecasts from the IMF, FOMC median projections, and private economists cluster around 2.0–2.3%. Elevated headline inflation near 3.2–3.7%, driven by energy and core goods, supports a tighter policy stance that could weigh on activity. Geopolitical risks around oil supply add downside potential, whereas sustained productivity gains from AI infrastructure represent the key upside swing factor into year-end.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,430วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for 2026 U.S. real GDP growth remains closely divided between the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% brackets, reflecting uncertainty over whether AI-related capital spending can fully offset moderating consumer outlays and energy-price pressures. Recent data show Q2 growth at a 1.5% annualized rate, with Q3 tracking toward 3% on resilient spending and business investment, while consensus forecasts from the IMF, FOMC median projections, and private economists cluster around 2.0–2.3%. Elevated headline inflation near 3.2–3.7%, driven by energy and core goods, supports a tighter policy stance that could weigh on activity. Geopolitical risks around oil supply add downside potential, whereas sustained productivity gains from AI infrastructure represent the key upside swing factor into year-end.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,430วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment for 2026 U.S. real GDP growth remains closely divided between the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% brackets, reflecting uncertainty over whether AI-related capital spending can fully offset moderating consumer outlays and energy-price pressures. Recent data show Q2 growth at a 1.5% annualized rate, with Q3 tracking toward 3% on resilient spending and business investment, while consensus forecasts from the IMF, FOMC median projections, and private economists cluster around 2.0–2.3%. Elevated headline inflation near 3.2–3.7%, driven by energy and core goods, supports a tighter policy stance that could weigh on activity. Geopolitical risks around oil supply add downside potential, whereas sustained productivity gains from AI infrastructure represent the key upside swing factor into year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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