New York’s 5th congressional district, anchored in southeast Queens, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its voter registration patterns and consistent election results, including the incumbent’s 72.9 percent share in 2024. Gregory Meeks, the Democratic representative since 1998, faces only nominal Republican opposition in the November 2026 general election, with independent forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. No significant shifts in district lines, candidate field, or polling have emerged in recent months to alter this positioning. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with the district’s structural partisan balance and incumbency advantages. A late personal or legal development involving the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican environment, or unforeseen redistricting changes could still narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain low-probability events based on available evidence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-05 House Election Winner
NY-05 House Election Winner
$23,998 ปริมาณ
$23,998 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$23,998 ปริมาณ
$23,998 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,222 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$7,777 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 5th congressional district, anchored in southeast Queens, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its voter registration patterns and consistent election results, including the incumbent’s 72.9 percent share in 2024. Gregory Meeks, the Democratic representative since 1998, faces only nominal Republican opposition in the November 2026 general election, with independent forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. No significant shifts in district lines, candidate field, or polling have emerged in recent months to alter this positioning. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with the district’s structural partisan balance and incumbency advantages. A late personal or legal development involving the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican environment, or unforeseen redistricting changes could still narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain low-probability events based on available evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,998วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 5th congressional district, anchored in southeast Queens, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its voter registration patterns and consistent election results, including the incumbent’s 72.9 percent share in 2024. Gregory Meeks, the Democratic representative since 1998, faces only nominal Republican opposition in the November 2026 general election, with independent forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. No significant shifts in district lines, candidate field, or polling have emerged in recent months to alter this positioning. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with the district’s structural partisan balance and incumbency advantages. A late personal or legal development involving the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican environment, or unforeseen redistricting changes could still narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain low-probability events based on available evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,998วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 5th congressional district, anchored in southeast Queens, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its voter registration patterns and consistent election results, including the incumbent’s 72.9 percent share in 2024. Gregory Meeks, the Democratic representative since 1998, faces only nominal Republican opposition in the November 2026 general election, with independent forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. No significant shifts in district lines, candidate field, or polling have emerged in recent months to alter this positioning. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with the district’s structural partisan balance and incumbency advantages. A late personal or legal development involving the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican environment, or unforeseen redistricting changes could still narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain low-probability events based on available evidence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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