Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote, facing limited intra-party opposition in Oregon's 4th Congressional District. The seat carries a Democratic lean reflected in recent election margins and partisan voting indexes, positioning the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner against Republican Monique DeSpain, who also advanced through her primary. Trader consensus at 88 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with the district's established voting patterns and the advantages of incumbency ahead of the November 2026 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOR-04 House Election Winner
$10,704 ปริมาณ
$10,704 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
8%
$10,704 ปริมาณ
$10,704 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote, facing limited intra-party opposition in Oregon's 4th Congressional District. The seat carries a Democratic lean reflected in recent election margins and partisan voting indexes, positioning the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner against Republican Monique DeSpain, who also advanced through her primary. Trader consensus at 88 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with the district's established voting patterns and the advantages of incumbency ahead of the November 2026 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย