Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a commanding position in the NY-19 House race heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, following his 2024 victory that flipped the seat from Republican control by a narrow margin. The district, rated Likely or Lean Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, features a slight Democratic lean reflected in its PVI. Riley faces Republican state Senator Peter Oberacker, who secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary. Riley's substantial fundraising edge and uncontested Democratic primary have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or major polling shift could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability based on current evidence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-19 House Election Winner
NY-19 House Election Winner
$19,151 ปริมาณ
$19,151 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$19,151 ปริมาณ
$19,151 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,657 ปริมาณ
97%
Republican Party
$10,493 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a commanding position in the NY-19 House race heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, following his 2024 victory that flipped the seat from Republican control by a narrow margin. The district, rated Likely or Lean Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, features a slight Democratic lean reflected in its PVI. Riley faces Republican state Senator Peter Oberacker, who secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary. Riley's substantial fundraising edge and uncontested Democratic primary have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or major polling shift could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,151วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a commanding position in the NY-19 House race heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, following his 2024 victory that flipped the seat from Republican control by a narrow margin. The district, rated Likely or Lean Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, features a slight Democratic lean reflected in its PVI. Riley faces Republican state Senator Peter Oberacker, who secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary. Riley's substantial fundraising edge and uncontested Democratic primary have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or major polling shift could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,151วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a commanding position in the NY-19 House race heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, following his 2024 victory that flipped the seat from Republican control by a narrow margin. The district, rated Likely or Lean Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, features a slight Democratic lean reflected in its PVI. Riley faces Republican state Senator Peter Oberacker, who secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary. Riley's substantial fundraising edge and uncontested Democratic primary have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or major polling shift could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability based on current evidence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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