Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko's established position in New York's 20th congressional district, which carries a D+8 partisan voting index and covers the Capital Region including Albany, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Democrats. Uncontested primaries for both Tonko and Republican challenger Ralph Ambrosio, combined with Tonko's substantial fundraising edge, have reinforced expectations of continuity ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent past results and the absence of competitive polling or major developments. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a significant late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political shift altering turnout patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-20 House Election Winner
NY-20 House Election Winner
$35,403 ปริมาณ
$35,403 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$35,403 ปริมาณ
$35,403 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,564 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$18,839 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko's established position in New York's 20th congressional district, which carries a D+8 partisan voting index and covers the Capital Region including Albany, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Democrats. Uncontested primaries for both Tonko and Republican challenger Ralph Ambrosio, combined with Tonko's substantial fundraising edge, have reinforced expectations of continuity ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent past results and the absence of competitive polling or major developments. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a significant late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political shift altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,403วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko's established position in New York's 20th congressional district, which carries a D+8 partisan voting index and covers the Capital Region including Albany, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Democrats. Uncontested primaries for both Tonko and Republican challenger Ralph Ambrosio, combined with Tonko's substantial fundraising edge, have reinforced expectations of continuity ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent past results and the absence of competitive polling or major developments. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a significant late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political shift altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,403วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko's established position in New York's 20th congressional district, which carries a D+8 partisan voting index and covers the Capital Region including Albany, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Democrats. Uncontested primaries for both Tonko and Republican challenger Ralph Ambrosio, combined with Tonko's substantial fundraising edge, have reinforced expectations of continuity ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent past results and the absence of competitive polling or major developments. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a significant late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political shift altering turnout patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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