Mid-decade redistricting efforts by Missouri Republicans aimed to shift the 5th district toward GOP-leaning rural areas and away from Democratic strongholds in Kansas City, but a September 3, 2026, state Supreme Court ruling restored the prior boundaries for the November general election. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who advanced unopposed in the August 4 primary, now competes under lines that previously supported Democratic performance in statewide races. Republican nominee Rick Brattin, who won his party's primary, faces a structurally more challenging path as a result. Trader consensus reflects this legal development as the dominant factor sustaining the Democratic Party's elevated implied probability heading into the final weeks of the campaign.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
$19,289 ปริมาณ
$19,289 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
20%
$19,289 ปริมาณ
$19,289 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,436 ปริมาณ
78%
Republican Party
$12,853 ปริมาณ
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mid-decade redistricting efforts by Missouri Republicans aimed to shift the 5th district toward GOP-leaning rural areas and away from Democratic strongholds in Kansas City, but a September 3, 2026, state Supreme Court ruling restored the prior boundaries for the November general election. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who advanced unopposed in the August 4 primary, now competes under lines that previously supported Democratic performance in statewide races. Republican nominee Rick Brattin, who won his party's primary, faces a structurally more challenging path as a result. Trader consensus reflects this legal development as the dominant factor sustaining the Democratic Party's elevated implied probability heading into the final weeks of the campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,289วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mid-decade redistricting efforts by Missouri Republicans aimed to shift the 5th district toward GOP-leaning rural areas and away from Democratic strongholds in Kansas City, but a September 3, 2026, state Supreme Court ruling restored the prior boundaries for the November general election. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who advanced unopposed in the August 4 primary, now competes under lines that previously supported Democratic performance in statewide races. Republican nominee Rick Brattin, who won his party's primary, faces a structurally more challenging path as a result. Trader consensus reflects this legal development as the dominant factor sustaining the Democratic Party's elevated implied probability heading into the final weeks of the campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,289วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Mid-decade redistricting efforts by Missouri Republicans aimed to shift the 5th district toward GOP-leaning rural areas and away from Democratic strongholds in Kansas City, but a September 3, 2026, state Supreme Court ruling restored the prior boundaries for the November general election. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who advanced unopposed in the August 4 primary, now competes under lines that previously supported Democratic performance in statewide races. Republican nominee Rick Brattin, who won his party's primary, faces a structurally more challenging path as a result. Trader consensus reflects this legal development as the dominant factor sustaining the Democratic Party's elevated implied probability heading into the final weeks of the campaign.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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