Missouri's 5th congressional district race features a heavily altered map following the state legislature's passage and the Missouri Supreme Court's May 2026 upholding of new boundaries that add rural counties and shift the district's partisan voting index sharply toward Republicans. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces multiple Republican primary challengers, including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others who filed early in 2026, in a contest now rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. This redistricting, enacted after a special session and upheld despite legal challenges and a pending referendum effort, forms the primary driver of trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 70 percent, with the Democratic outcome at 29.5 percent reflecting the reduced urban base and expanded conservative-leaning territory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
68%
Democratic Party
30%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,756 ปริมาณ
68%
Democratic Party
$1,171 ปริมาณ
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th congressional district race features a heavily altered map following the state legislature's passage and the Missouri Supreme Court's May 2026 upholding of new boundaries that add rural counties and shift the district's partisan voting index sharply toward Republicans. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces multiple Republican primary challengers, including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others who filed early in 2026, in a contest now rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. This redistricting, enacted after a special session and upheld despite legal challenges and a pending referendum effort, forms the primary driver of trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 70 percent, with the Democratic outcome at 29.5 percent reflecting the reduced urban base and expanded conservative-leaning territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,928วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th congressional district race features a heavily altered map following the state legislature's passage and the Missouri Supreme Court's May 2026 upholding of new boundaries that add rural counties and shift the district's partisan voting index sharply toward Republicans. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces multiple Republican primary challengers, including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others who filed early in 2026, in a contest now rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. This redistricting, enacted after a special session and upheld despite legal challenges and a pending referendum effort, forms the primary driver of trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 70 percent, with the Democratic outcome at 29.5 percent reflecting the reduced urban base and expanded conservative-leaning territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,928วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 5th congressional district race features a heavily altered map following the state legislature's passage and the Missouri Supreme Court's May 2026 upholding of new boundaries that add rural counties and shift the district's partisan voting index sharply toward Republicans. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces multiple Republican primary challengers, including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others who filed early in 2026, in a contest now rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. This redistricting, enacted after a special session and upheld despite legal challenges and a pending referendum effort, forms the primary driver of trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 70 percent, with the Democratic outcome at 29.5 percent reflecting the reduced urban base and expanded conservative-leaning territory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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