Steven Horsford, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat carries a D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index, and Horsford advanced unopposed through the June 9 Democratic primary while Republican Cody Whipple secured his party’s nomination. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, citing Horsford’s incumbency, established fundraising edge, and the district’s suburban-rural mix in the Las Vegas area. Trader consensus at 88% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would narrow the gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNV-04 House Election Winner
NV-04 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,408 ปริมาณ
90%
Republican Party
$3,170 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steven Horsford, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat carries a D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index, and Horsford advanced unopposed through the June 9 Democratic primary while Republican Cody Whipple secured his party’s nomination. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, citing Horsford’s incumbency, established fundraising edge, and the district’s suburban-rural mix in the Las Vegas area. Trader consensus at 88% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,578วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steven Horsford, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat carries a D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index, and Horsford advanced unopposed through the June 9 Democratic primary while Republican Cody Whipple secured his party’s nomination. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, citing Horsford’s incumbency, established fundraising edge, and the district’s suburban-rural mix in the Las Vegas area. Trader consensus at 88% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,578วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Steven Horsford, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat carries a D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index, and Horsford advanced unopposed through the June 9 Democratic primary while Republican Cody Whipple secured his party’s nomination. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, citing Horsford’s incumbency, established fundraising edge, and the district’s suburban-rural mix in the Las Vegas area. Trader consensus at 88% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would narrow the gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย