The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district, following longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s retirement, features Republican nominee David Flippo and Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including an 8.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and ratings of Solid or Likely Republican from multiple forecasters, anchors trader pricing near 74-75% for the GOP. Flippo secured the nomination in the June primary with Donald Trump’s endorsement over a crowded field, reinforcing alignment with the district’s conservative base in northern Nevada. Benitez-Thompson won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited Democratic infrastructure. A single July poll showed a narrow Democratic lead, yet broader models project a Republican win by double digits, sustaining the current implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNV-02 House Election Winner
NV-02 House Election Winner
$30,295 ปริมาณ
$30,295 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
23%
$30,295 ปริมาณ
$30,295 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$15,901 ปริมาณ
75%
Democratic Party
$14,394 ปริมาณ
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district, following longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s retirement, features Republican nominee David Flippo and Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including an 8.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and ratings of Solid or Likely Republican from multiple forecasters, anchors trader pricing near 74-75% for the GOP. Flippo secured the nomination in the June primary with Donald Trump’s endorsement over a crowded field, reinforcing alignment with the district’s conservative base in northern Nevada. Benitez-Thompson won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited Democratic infrastructure. A single July poll showed a narrow Democratic lead, yet broader models project a Republican win by double digits, sustaining the current implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,295วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district, following longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s retirement, features Republican nominee David Flippo and Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including an 8.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and ratings of Solid or Likely Republican from multiple forecasters, anchors trader pricing near 74-75% for the GOP. Flippo secured the nomination in the June primary with Donald Trump’s endorsement over a crowded field, reinforcing alignment with the district’s conservative base in northern Nevada. Benitez-Thompson won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited Democratic infrastructure. A single July poll showed a narrow Democratic lead, yet broader models project a Republican win by double digits, sustaining the current implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,295วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district, following longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s retirement, features Republican nominee David Flippo and Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including an 8.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and ratings of Solid or Likely Republican from multiple forecasters, anchors trader pricing near 74-75% for the GOP. Flippo secured the nomination in the June primary with Donald Trump’s endorsement over a crowded field, reinforcing alignment with the district’s conservative base in northern Nevada. Benitez-Thompson won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited Democratic infrastructure. A single July poll showed a narrow Democratic lead, yet broader models project a Republican win by double digits, sustaining the current implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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