The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s February 2026 retirement has drawn large primary fields in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as safe or solid Republican. Registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by more than 3-to-2, and the district has remained in GOP hands since the 1980s. Multiple Democratic candidates, including self-funders, are competing in the June 9 primary, but the absence of public polling showing a competitive general election has kept trader-implied probability of a Democratic victory near 28 percent. The Republican nominee is expected to benefit from the district’s structural partisan advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNV-02 House Election Winner
NV-02 House Election Winner
$19,944 ปริมาณ
$19,944 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
29%
$19,944 ปริมาณ
$19,944 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,420 ปริมาณ
71%
Democratic Party
$8,524 ปริมาณ
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s February 2026 retirement has drawn large primary fields in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as safe or solid Republican. Registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by more than 3-to-2, and the district has remained in GOP hands since the 1980s. Multiple Democratic candidates, including self-funders, are competing in the June 9 primary, but the absence of public polling showing a competitive general election has kept trader-implied probability of a Democratic victory near 28 percent. The Republican nominee is expected to benefit from the district’s structural partisan advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,944วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s February 2026 retirement has drawn large primary fields in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as safe or solid Republican. Registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by more than 3-to-2, and the district has remained in GOP hands since the 1980s. Multiple Democratic candidates, including self-funders, are competing in the June 9 primary, but the absence of public polling showing a competitive general election has kept trader-implied probability of a Democratic victory near 28 percent. The Republican nominee is expected to benefit from the district’s structural partisan advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,944วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s February 2026 retirement has drawn large primary fields in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as safe or solid Republican. Registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by more than 3-to-2, and the district has remained in GOP hands since the 1980s. Multiple Democratic candidates, including self-funders, are competing in the June 9 primary, but the absence of public polling showing a competitive general election has kept trader-implied probability of a Democratic victory near 28 percent. The Republican nominee is expected to benefit from the district’s structural partisan advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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