The Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards' withdrawal in early August following a House Ethics Committee report recommending censure for inappropriate conduct with staffers has elevated Democratic chances in trader assessments for North Carolina's 11th congressional district. State Representative Jennifer Balkcom, selected as the late GOP replacement, faces Democrat Jamie Ager, who has raised millions and benefits from family political ties in the district. Recent polling averages and forecasts show a competitive race in a seat that leaned Republican in 2024 but has trended slightly less so since 2020, with analysts rating it Lean Republican to Toss-up. Traders appear to weigh the scandal's impact, the abbreviated Republican campaign timeline, and potential national headwinds more heavily than models projecting a narrower GOP edge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNC-11 House Election Winner
NC-11 House Election Winner
$15,799 ปริมาณ
$15,799 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
35%
$15,799 ปริมาณ
$15,799 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,328 ปริมาณ
66%
Republican Party
$8,471 ปริมาณ
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards' withdrawal in early August following a House Ethics Committee report recommending censure for inappropriate conduct with staffers has elevated Democratic chances in trader assessments for North Carolina's 11th congressional district. State Representative Jennifer Balkcom, selected as the late GOP replacement, faces Democrat Jamie Ager, who has raised millions and benefits from family political ties in the district. Recent polling averages and forecasts show a competitive race in a seat that leaned Republican in 2024 but has trended slightly less so since 2020, with analysts rating it Lean Republican to Toss-up. Traders appear to weigh the scandal's impact, the abbreviated Republican campaign timeline, and potential national headwinds more heavily than models projecting a narrower GOP edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,799วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards' withdrawal in early August following a House Ethics Committee report recommending censure for inappropriate conduct with staffers has elevated Democratic chances in trader assessments for North Carolina's 11th congressional district. State Representative Jennifer Balkcom, selected as the late GOP replacement, faces Democrat Jamie Ager, who has raised millions and benefits from family political ties in the district. Recent polling averages and forecasts show a competitive race in a seat that leaned Republican in 2024 but has trended slightly less so since 2020, with analysts rating it Lean Republican to Toss-up. Traders appear to weigh the scandal's impact, the abbreviated Republican campaign timeline, and potential national headwinds more heavily than models projecting a narrower GOP edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,799วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards' withdrawal in early August following a House Ethics Committee report recommending censure for inappropriate conduct with staffers has elevated Democratic chances in trader assessments for North Carolina's 11th congressional district. State Representative Jennifer Balkcom, selected as the late GOP replacement, faces Democrat Jamie Ager, who has raised millions and benefits from family political ties in the district. Recent polling averages and forecasts show a competitive race in a seat that leaned Republican in 2024 but has trended slightly less so since 2020, with analysts rating it Lean Republican to Toss-up. Traders appear to weigh the scandal's impact, the abbreviated Republican campaign timeline, and potential national headwinds more heavily than models projecting a narrower GOP edge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย