North Carolina's 11th congressional district race features incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards against Democratic nominee Jamie Ager following March 2026 primaries and 2025 redistricting that altered district lines ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic Party a 66% implied probability of winning, consistent with early-year polling showing narrow margins in head-to-head matchups between the candidates. The Republican nominee secured renomination comfortably, while the Democratic primary produced Ager as the standard-bearer in a district previously rated lean or likely Republican by multiple forecasters. National midterm dynamics, candidate recruitment emphasizing rural appeal, and the impact of boundary changes remain the primary variables that could shift positioning before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNC-11 House Election Winner
NC-11 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
67%
Republican Party
29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$388 ปริมาณ
67%
Republican Party
$503 ปริมาณ
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 11th congressional district race features incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards against Democratic nominee Jamie Ager following March 2026 primaries and 2025 redistricting that altered district lines ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic Party a 66% implied probability of winning, consistent with early-year polling showing narrow margins in head-to-head matchups between the candidates. The Republican nominee secured renomination comfortably, while the Democratic primary produced Ager as the standard-bearer in a district previously rated lean or likely Republican by multiple forecasters. National midterm dynamics, candidate recruitment emphasizing rural appeal, and the impact of boundary changes remain the primary variables that could shift positioning before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$891วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 11th congressional district race features incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards against Democratic nominee Jamie Ager following March 2026 primaries and 2025 redistricting that altered district lines ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic Party a 66% implied probability of winning, consistent with early-year polling showing narrow margins in head-to-head matchups between the candidates. The Republican nominee secured renomination comfortably, while the Democratic primary produced Ager as the standard-bearer in a district previously rated lean or likely Republican by multiple forecasters. National midterm dynamics, candidate recruitment emphasizing rural appeal, and the impact of boundary changes remain the primary variables that could shift positioning before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$891วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 11th congressional district race features incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards against Democratic nominee Jamie Ager following March 2026 primaries and 2025 redistricting that altered district lines ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic Party a 66% implied probability of winning, consistent with early-year polling showing narrow margins in head-to-head matchups between the candidates. The Republican nominee secured renomination comfortably, while the Democratic primary produced Ager as the standard-bearer in a district previously rated lean or likely Republican by multiple forecasters. National midterm dynamics, candidate recruitment emphasizing rural appeal, and the impact of boundary changes remain the primary variables that could shift positioning before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย