Trader consensus on Polymarket favors self-funded businessman Perry Johnson at 47% implied probability to win Michigan's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 4, driven by his slight edge over U.S. Rep. John James (36%) in the Emerson College poll released April 16 (conducted April 11-13 among 452 likely primary voters: Johnson 21%, James 20%, undecided 39%). Johnson's $10 million early TV ad blitz, including a March 5 spot branding James a "two-time Senate loser," has fueled his surge from trailing positions in March polls like JMC Analytics (James 23%, Johnson 20%). James counters with his combat veteran and congressional record, but high undecideds signal volatility ahead of debates and ballot deadlines, positioning Nesbitt (7%) and others as longshots amid Johnson's outsider fiscal pitch to audit state spending and cut income taxes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPerry Johnson 48%
John James 35%
Aric Nesbitt 6.9%
Anthony Hudson 6.0%
$25,443 ปริมาณ
$25,443 ปริมาณ
Perry Johnson
43%
John James
35%
Aric Nesbitt
7%
Anthony Hudson
6%
Joyce Gipson
5%
Mike Cox
4%
Karla Wagner
2%
Tom Leonard
1%
Ralph Rebandt
1%
Evan Space
1%
William Null
1%
Perry Johnson 48%
John James 35%
Aric Nesbitt 6.9%
Anthony Hudson 6.0%
$25,443 ปริมาณ
$25,443 ปริมาณ
Perry Johnson
43%
John James
35%
Aric Nesbitt
7%
Anthony Hudson
6%
Joyce Gipson
5%
Mike Cox
4%
Karla Wagner
2%
Tom Leonard
1%
Ralph Rebandt
1%
Evan Space
1%
William Null
1%
If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors self-funded businessman Perry Johnson at 47% implied probability to win Michigan's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 4, driven by his slight edge over U.S. Rep. John James (36%) in the Emerson College poll released April 16 (conducted April 11-13 among 452 likely primary voters: Johnson 21%, James 20%, undecided 39%). Johnson's $10 million early TV ad blitz, including a March 5 spot branding James a "two-time Senate loser," has fueled his surge from trailing positions in March polls like JMC Analytics (James 23%, Johnson 20%). James counters with his combat veteran and congressional record, but high undecideds signal volatility ahead of debates and ballot deadlines, positioning Nesbitt (7%) and others as longshots amid Johnson's outsider fiscal pitch to audit state spending and cut income taxes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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