North Carolina's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and boundaries centered in Charlotte and Mecklenburg County. Incumbent Representative Alma Adams, first elected in 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November 3 general election. The district's consistent partisan lean, Adams' incumbency advantages, and minimal Republican campaign investment underpin the market's 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national environment or late-cycle event sufficient to overcome the seat's structural margins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNC-12 House Election Winner
$34,269 ปริมาณ
$34,269 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$34,269 ปริมาณ
$34,269 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and boundaries centered in Charlotte and Mecklenburg County. Incumbent Representative Alma Adams, first elected in 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November 3 general election. The district's consistent partisan lean, Adams' incumbency advantages, and minimal Republican campaign investment underpin the market's 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national environment or late-cycle event sufficient to overcome the seat's structural margins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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