Incumbent Rep. Alma Adams (D) secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary with 79% of the vote, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Jack Codiga, who won his primary 67%-33%, in solidly Democratic NC-12 (D+24 partisan voter index). Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party reflects the district's strong Democratic lean around Charlotte, Adams' historical landslides—including 74% in 2024—and ratings from Cook Political Report as Solid Democratic, underscoring incumbency advantages and weak GOP performance in recent cycles. While a major scandal, health event, or overwhelming Republican midterm wave could shift odds before the November 3 general election, such disruptions remain low-probability given structural barriers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNC-12 House Election Winner
NC-12 House Election Winner
$23,682 ปริมาณ
$23,682 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$23,682 ปริมาณ
$23,682 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Alma Adams (D) secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary with 79% of the vote, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Jack Codiga, who won his primary 67%-33%, in solidly Democratic NC-12 (D+24 partisan voter index). Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party reflects the district's strong Democratic lean around Charlotte, Adams' historical landslides—including 74% in 2024—and ratings from Cook Political Report as Solid Democratic, underscoring incumbency advantages and weak GOP performance in recent cycles. While a major scandal, health event, or overwhelming Republican midterm wave could shift odds before the November 3 general election, such disruptions remain low-probability given structural barriers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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