California’s 12th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat encompassing urban portions of Alameda County, including Oakland, Berkeley, and Emeryville. Incumbent Democrat Lateefah Simon, who took office after the 2024 election, holds a clear advantage through established party infrastructure, name recognition, and alignment with the district’s progressive electorate. California’s top-two primary system has produced a general-election matchup that effectively excludes Republican contenders, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in trader consensus. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive GOP candidates or major redistricting changes further solidify this positioning. While a national Republican surge or unforeseen local scandal could theoretically narrow margins, structural demographics and turnout dynamics make significant shifts improbable before the November 2026 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-12 House Election Winner
CA-12 House Election Winner
$43,356 ปริมาณ
$43,356 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$43,356 ปริมาณ
$43,356 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$26,212 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$17,143 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 12th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat encompassing urban portions of Alameda County, including Oakland, Berkeley, and Emeryville. Incumbent Democrat Lateefah Simon, who took office after the 2024 election, holds a clear advantage through established party infrastructure, name recognition, and alignment with the district’s progressive electorate. California’s top-two primary system has produced a general-election matchup that effectively excludes Republican contenders, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in trader consensus. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive GOP candidates or major redistricting changes further solidify this positioning. While a national Republican surge or unforeseen local scandal could theoretically narrow margins, structural demographics and turnout dynamics make significant shifts improbable before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,356วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 12th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat encompassing urban portions of Alameda County, including Oakland, Berkeley, and Emeryville. Incumbent Democrat Lateefah Simon, who took office after the 2024 election, holds a clear advantage through established party infrastructure, name recognition, and alignment with the district’s progressive electorate. California’s top-two primary system has produced a general-election matchup that effectively excludes Republican contenders, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in trader consensus. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive GOP candidates or major redistricting changes further solidify this positioning. While a national Republican surge or unforeseen local scandal could theoretically narrow margins, structural demographics and turnout dynamics make significant shifts improbable before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,356วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 12th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat encompassing urban portions of Alameda County, including Oakland, Berkeley, and Emeryville. Incumbent Democrat Lateefah Simon, who took office after the 2024 election, holds a clear advantage through established party infrastructure, name recognition, and alignment with the district’s progressive electorate. California’s top-two primary system has produced a general-election matchup that effectively excludes Republican contenders, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in trader consensus. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive GOP candidates or major redistricting changes further solidify this positioning. While a national Republican surge or unforeseen local scandal could theoretically narrow margins, structural demographics and turnout dynamics make significant shifts improbable before the November 2026 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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