The commanding trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in California's 11th congressional district stems from its deep-blue fundamentals, with a Cook PVI of D+36 and history of 80%+ Democratic margins under retiring Rep. Nancy Pelosi. Recent Data for Progress polling (April 3–8, 2026) shows Democratic frontrunners State Sen. Scott Wiener (33%) and activist Saikat Chakrabarti (28%) dominating the crowded top-two primary field ahead of June 2, while the leading Republican, David Ganezer, trails at 7% amid negligible fundraising. Two Democrats are poised to advance to the November 3 general election, ensuring a party hold. Upsets could arise from GOP primary consolidation, Democratic scandals, or depressed turnout, though structural barriers remain formidable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$834 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$701 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in California's 11th congressional district stems from its deep-blue fundamentals, with a Cook PVI of D+36 and history of 80%+ Democratic margins under retiring Rep. Nancy Pelosi. Recent Data for Progress polling (April 3–8, 2026) shows Democratic frontrunners State Sen. Scott Wiener (33%) and activist Saikat Chakrabarti (28%) dominating the crowded top-two primary field ahead of June 2, while the leading Republican, David Ganezer, trails at 7% amid negligible fundraising. Two Democrats are poised to advance to the November 3 general election, ensuring a party hold. Upsets could arise from GOP primary consolidation, Democratic scandals, or depressed turnout, though structural barriers remain formidable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,535วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in California's 11th congressional district stems from its deep-blue fundamentals, with a Cook PVI of D+36 and history of 80%+ Democratic margins under retiring Rep. Nancy Pelosi. Recent Data for Progress polling (April 3–8, 2026) shows Democratic frontrunners State Sen. Scott Wiener (33%) and activist Saikat Chakrabarti (28%) dominating the crowded top-two primary field ahead of June 2, while the leading Republican, David Ganezer, trails at 7% amid negligible fundraising. Two Democrats are poised to advance to the November 3 general election, ensuring a party hold. Upsets could arise from GOP primary consolidation, Democratic scandals, or depressed turnout, though structural barriers remain formidable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,535วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The commanding trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in California's 11th congressional district stems from its deep-blue fundamentals, with a Cook PVI of D+36 and history of 80%+ Democratic margins under retiring Rep. Nancy Pelosi. Recent Data for Progress polling (April 3–8, 2026) shows Democratic frontrunners State Sen. Scott Wiener (33%) and activist Saikat Chakrabarti (28%) dominating the crowded top-two primary field ahead of June 2, while the leading Republican, David Ganezer, trails at 7% amid negligible fundraising. Two Democrats are poised to advance to the November 3 general election, ensuring a party hold. Upsets could arise from GOP primary consolidation, Democratic scandals, or depressed turnout, though structural barriers remain formidable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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