Incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu's commanding fundraising lead—over $1 million cash on hand—and history of lopsided victories, including 68.7% in 2024 against Republican Melissa Toomim, anchor trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in California's 36th Congressional District. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and others, the coastal Los Angeles-area seat features heavy Democratic voter registration and weak GOP challengers like Toomim, who filed post-March 6 deadline alongside minor Republicans. The top-two primary on June 2 likely advances Lieu against another Democrat, paving reelection. Upsets would require a major scandal, legal development, or unprecedented national Republican midterm wave overwhelming the district's D+37 lean.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu's commanding fundraising lead—over $1 million cash on hand—and history of lopsided victories, including 68.7% in 2024 against Republican Melissa Toomim, anchor trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in California's 36th Congressional District. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and others, the coastal Los Angeles-area seat features heavy Democratic voter registration and weak GOP challengers like Toomim, who filed post-March 6 deadline alongside minor Republicans. The top-two primary on June 2 likely advances Lieu against another Democrat, paving reelection. Upsets would require a major scandal, legal development, or unprecedented national Republican midterm wave overwhelming the district's D+37 lean.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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