**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win California's 32nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting longtime incumbent Brad Sherman's commanding position ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary.** Sherman holds over $4.8 million cash-on-hand, dwarfs fragmented Democratic challengers like Anna Wilding and Jake Rakov, and represents a district with a 25-point Harris margin in 2024 alongside his history of easy reelections (69% in 2022). Recent redistricting left the seat intact and Democratic-leaning, with no viable Republican threat emerging. While Sherman's dominance drives this pricing, scenarios like a major scandal, low Democratic turnout, or national GOP midterm wave could shift odds, though district fundamentals pose significant barriers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-32 House Election Winner
CA-32 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,295 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$3,547 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win California's 32nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting longtime incumbent Brad Sherman's commanding position ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary.** Sherman holds over $4.8 million cash-on-hand, dwarfs fragmented Democratic challengers like Anna Wilding and Jake Rakov, and represents a district with a 25-point Harris margin in 2024 alongside his history of easy reelections (69% in 2022). Recent redistricting left the seat intact and Democratic-leaning, with no viable Republican threat emerging. While Sherman's dominance drives this pricing, scenarios like a major scandal, low Democratic turnout, or national GOP midterm wave could shift odds, though district fundamentals pose significant barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,842วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win California's 32nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting longtime incumbent Brad Sherman's commanding position ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary.** Sherman holds over $4.8 million cash-on-hand, dwarfs fragmented Democratic challengers like Anna Wilding and Jake Rakov, and represents a district with a 25-point Harris margin in 2024 alongside his history of easy reelections (69% in 2022). Recent redistricting left the seat intact and Democratic-leaning, with no viable Republican threat emerging. While Sherman's dominance drives this pricing, scenarios like a major scandal, low Democratic turnout, or national GOP midterm wave could shift odds, though district fundamentals pose significant barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,842วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win California's 32nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting longtime incumbent Brad Sherman's commanding position ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary.** Sherman holds over $4.8 million cash-on-hand, dwarfs fragmented Democratic challengers like Anna Wilding and Jake Rakov, and represents a district with a 25-point Harris margin in 2024 alongside his history of easy reelections (69% in 2022). Recent redistricting left the seat intact and Democratic-leaning, with no viable Republican threat emerging. While Sherman's dominance drives this pricing, scenarios like a major scandal, low Democratic turnout, or national GOP midterm wave could shift odds, though district fundamentals pose significant barriers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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