Texas's 9th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025 that shifted its composition, producing an R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and moving it from a long-held Democratic seat to one rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe or Likely Republican by other nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Democrat Al Green relocated to the new 18th district, leaving an open seat. Republican nominee Alex Mealer secured the nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff victory over state Representative Briscoe Cain and holds a Trump endorsement, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez emerged from her party's March primary. Mid-2026 general election polling has shown Mealer ahead by roughly 4–6 points. These structural and candidate developments underpin the current market consensus favoring the Republican outcome well ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-09 House Election Winner
TX-09 House Election Winner
$15,150 ปริมาณ
$15,150 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
$15,150 ปริมาณ
$15,150 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,203 ปริมาณ
86%
Democratic Party
$3,946 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 9th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025 that shifted its composition, producing an R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and moving it from a long-held Democratic seat to one rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe or Likely Republican by other nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Democrat Al Green relocated to the new 18th district, leaving an open seat. Republican nominee Alex Mealer secured the nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff victory over state Representative Briscoe Cain and holds a Trump endorsement, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez emerged from her party's March primary. Mid-2026 general election polling has shown Mealer ahead by roughly 4–6 points. These structural and candidate developments underpin the current market consensus favoring the Republican outcome well ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,150วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 9th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025 that shifted its composition, producing an R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and moving it from a long-held Democratic seat to one rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe or Likely Republican by other nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Democrat Al Green relocated to the new 18th district, leaving an open seat. Republican nominee Alex Mealer secured the nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff victory over state Representative Briscoe Cain and holds a Trump endorsement, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez emerged from her party's March primary. Mid-2026 general election polling has shown Mealer ahead by roughly 4–6 points. These structural and candidate developments underpin the current market consensus favoring the Republican outcome well ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,150วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 9th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025 that shifted its composition, producing an R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and moving it from a long-held Democratic seat to one rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe or Likely Republican by other nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Democrat Al Green relocated to the new 18th district, leaving an open seat. Republican nominee Alex Mealer secured the nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff victory over state Representative Briscoe Cain and holds a Trump endorsement, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez emerged from her party's March primary. Mid-2026 general election polling has shown Mealer ahead by roughly 4–6 points. These structural and candidate developments underpin the current market consensus favoring the Republican outcome well ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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