Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory at 78.5% implied probability in the open-seat Wisconsin gubernatorial race, diverging from tight March general election hypotheticals showing matchups like Mandela Barnes over Tom Tiffany by 2 points or Sara Rodriguez by 3. The April 7 Wisconsin Supreme Court landslide for liberal Chris Taylor has boosted sentiment, signaling strong Democratic turnout in the battleground state ahead of the August 11 primaries. Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany dominates his primary at 40% to Andy Manske's 6% per recent Marquette polling, while the nine-candidate Democratic field remains fragmented with 65% undecided and no leader above 14%. Historical Democratic wins in 2018 and 2022 underpin trader optimism despite the tossup ratings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$67,734 ปริมาณ
$67,734 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
79%
Republican
16%
$67,734 ปริมาณ
$67,734 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$11,298 ปริมาณ
79%
Republican
$56,436 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory at 78.5% implied probability in the open-seat Wisconsin gubernatorial race, diverging from tight March general election hypotheticals showing matchups like Mandela Barnes over Tom Tiffany by 2 points or Sara Rodriguez by 3. The April 7 Wisconsin Supreme Court landslide for liberal Chris Taylor has boosted sentiment, signaling strong Democratic turnout in the battleground state ahead of the August 11 primaries. Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany dominates his primary at 40% to Andy Manske's 6% per recent Marquette polling, while the nine-candidate Democratic field remains fragmented with 65% undecided and no leader above 14%. Historical Democratic wins in 2018 and 2022 underpin trader optimism despite the tossup ratings.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,734วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory at 78.5% implied probability in the open-seat Wisconsin gubernatorial race, diverging from tight March general election hypotheticals showing matchups like Mandela Barnes over Tom Tiffany by 2 points or Sara Rodriguez by 3. The April 7 Wisconsin Supreme Court landslide for liberal Chris Taylor has boosted sentiment, signaling strong Democratic turnout in the battleground state ahead of the August 11 primaries. Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany dominates his primary at 40% to Andy Manske's 6% per recent Marquette polling, while the nine-candidate Democratic field remains fragmented with 65% undecided and no leader above 14%. Historical Democratic wins in 2018 and 2022 underpin trader optimism despite the tossup ratings.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,734วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory at 78.5% implied probability in the open-seat Wisconsin gubernatorial race, diverging from tight March general election hypotheticals showing matchups like Mandela Barnes over Tom Tiffany by 2 points or Sara Rodriguez by 3. The April 7 Wisconsin Supreme Court landslide for liberal Chris Taylor has boosted sentiment, signaling strong Democratic turnout in the battleground state ahead of the August 11 primaries. Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany dominates his primary at 40% to Andy Manske's 6% per recent Marquette polling, while the nine-candidate Democratic field remains fragmented with 65% undecided and no leader above 14%. Historical Democratic wins in 2018 and 2022 underpin trader optimism despite the tossup ratings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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