Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race, seeking a third term against Republican nominee Darren Bailey in the November 3 general election. Illinois's consistent Democratic lean, Pritzker's unopposed primary victory, and his prior comfortable margins have shaped trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. Bailey, who secured the GOP nomination in the March 17 primary after a similar 2022 defeat, faces structural challenges in a state where Democrats have dominated recent statewide contests. An independent candidate's potential ballot access adds minor uncertainty, though scenarios such as significant shifts in voter turnout, late economic developments, or campaign controversies would be required to meaningfully alter the current positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIllinois Governor Election Winner
Illinois Governor Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$1,913 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican
$2,658 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race, seeking a third term against Republican nominee Darren Bailey in the November 3 general election. Illinois's consistent Democratic lean, Pritzker's unopposed primary victory, and his prior comfortable margins have shaped trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. Bailey, who secured the GOP nomination in the March 17 primary after a similar 2022 defeat, faces structural challenges in a state where Democrats have dominated recent statewide contests. An independent candidate's potential ballot access adds minor uncertainty, though scenarios such as significant shifts in voter turnout, late economic developments, or campaign controversies would be required to meaningfully alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,570วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race, seeking a third term against Republican nominee Darren Bailey in the November 3 general election. Illinois's consistent Democratic lean, Pritzker's unopposed primary victory, and his prior comfortable margins have shaped trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. Bailey, who secured the GOP nomination in the March 17 primary after a similar 2022 defeat, faces structural challenges in a state where Democrats have dominated recent statewide contests. An independent candidate's potential ballot access adds minor uncertainty, though scenarios such as significant shifts in voter turnout, late economic developments, or campaign controversies would be required to meaningfully alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,570วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race, seeking a third term against Republican nominee Darren Bailey in the November 3 general election. Illinois's consistent Democratic lean, Pritzker's unopposed primary victory, and his prior comfortable margins have shaped trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. Bailey, who secured the GOP nomination in the March 17 primary after a similar 2022 defeat, faces structural challenges in a state where Democrats have dominated recent statewide contests. An independent candidate's potential ballot access adds minor uncertainty, though scenarios such as significant shifts in voter turnout, late economic developments, or campaign controversies would be required to meaningfully alter the current positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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