The new Florida congressional map signed into law in May 2026, following a special legislative session, is projected by forecasters to produce a 24-4 Republican advantage by consolidating Democratic voters, though it faces ongoing legal challenges under the state constitution. With Democrats currently holding eight seats after 2024, the structure leaves limited pathways for gains in the 28-district delegation ahead of the November general election. National midterm dynamics, including Democratic leads in generic ballot polling and special election swings, provide the main counterpressure that could preserve or expand holdings in South Florida and urban districts. Primaries scheduled for August 18 add immediate candidate clarity, while few races rate as competitive on nonpartisan scorecards. Trader consensus clustering on seven or eight seats reflects this balance between map constraints and broader electoral conditions that could shift with turnout or late developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว5 18%
6 16%
<4 8%
9 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<4
8%
4
3%
5
18%
6
16%
7
35%
8
31%
9
5%
10
5%
11
5%
12+
5%
5 18%
6 16%
<4 8%
9 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<4
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
4
$446 ปริมาณ
3%
5
$126 ปริมาณ
18%
6
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
7
$41 ปริมาณ
35%
8
$20 ปริมาณ
31%
9
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
10
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
11
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
12+
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.The new Florida congressional map signed into law in May 2026, following a special legislative session, is projected by forecasters to produce a 24-4 Republican advantage by consolidating Democratic voters, though it faces ongoing legal challenges under the state constitution. With Democrats currently holding eight seats after 2024, the structure leaves limited pathways for gains in the 28-district delegation ahead of the November general election. National midterm dynamics, including Democratic leads in generic ballot polling and special election swings, provide the main counterpressure that could preserve or expand holdings in South Florida and urban districts. Primaries scheduled for August 18 add immediate candidate clarity, while few races rate as competitive on nonpartisan scorecards. Trader consensus clustering on seven or eight seats reflects this balance between map constraints and broader electoral conditions that could shift with turnout or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$633วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.The new Florida congressional map signed into law in May 2026, following a special legislative session, is projected by forecasters to produce a 24-4 Republican advantage by consolidating Democratic voters, though it faces ongoing legal challenges under the state constitution. With Democrats currently holding eight seats after 2024, the structure leaves limited pathways for gains in the 28-district delegation ahead of the November general election. National midterm dynamics, including Democratic leads in generic ballot polling and special election swings, provide the main counterpressure that could preserve or expand holdings in South Florida and urban districts. Primaries scheduled for August 18 add immediate candidate clarity, while few races rate as competitive on nonpartisan scorecards. Trader consensus clustering on seven or eight seats reflects this balance between map constraints and broader electoral conditions that could shift with turnout or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$633วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The new Florida congressional map signed into law in May 2026, following a special legislative session, is projected by forecasters to produce a 24-4 Republican advantage by consolidating Democratic voters, though it faces ongoing legal challenges under the state constitution. With Democrats currently holding eight seats after 2024, the structure leaves limited pathways for gains in the 28-district delegation ahead of the November general election. National midterm dynamics, including Democratic leads in generic ballot polling and special election swings, provide the main counterpressure that could preserve or expand holdings in South Florida and urban districts. Primaries scheduled for August 18 add immediate candidate clarity, while few races rate as competitive on nonpartisan scorecards. Trader consensus clustering on seven or eight seats reflects this balance between map constraints and broader electoral conditions that could shift with turnout or late developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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