Wyoming's entrenched Republican trifecta and history of lopsided gubernatorial wins—averaging over 60% margins since 2006—underpin trader consensus pricing a GOP victory at 94.5% in the open-seat race following term-limited Gov. Mark Gordon's decision not to seek a third term. Recent endorsements for Superintendent Megan Degenfelder from former President Trump, Rep. Harriet Hageman, and House GOP leaders have solidified her as the Republican primary frontrunner ahead of the August 18 contest against state Sen. Eric Barlow and Brent Bien, while Democrat Gabriel Green's solo bid lacks competitive polling or resources. All major forecasters rate the November 3 general election Safe or Solid Republican. Scenarios like a divisive GOP primary producing a weakened nominee, major scandal, or national Democratic wave could narrow odds, though structural barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWyoming Governor Election Winner
Wyoming Governor Election Winner

Republican
95%

Democrat
4%

Republican
95%

Democrat
4%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican trifecta and history of lopsided gubernatorial wins—averaging over 60% margins since 2006—underpin trader consensus pricing a GOP victory at 94.5% in the open-seat race following term-limited Gov. Mark Gordon's decision not to seek a third term. Recent endorsements for Superintendent Megan Degenfelder from former President Trump, Rep. Harriet Hageman, and House GOP leaders have solidified her as the Republican primary frontrunner ahead of the August 18 contest against state Sen. Eric Barlow and Brent Bien, while Democrat Gabriel Green's solo bid lacks competitive polling or resources. All major forecasters rate the November 3 general election Safe or Solid Republican. Scenarios like a divisive GOP primary producing a weakened nominee, major scandal, or national Democratic wave could narrow odds, though structural barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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