Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont's commanding lead in the August 11 primary polls—57% to 13% over challenger Josh Elliott in the February University of New Hampshire survey—bolsters trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, amid Connecticut's status as a Democratic stronghold with no Republican governor since 2011 and consistent safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Lamont's prior victories by 13 and 15 points, coupled with tepid but positive approval and a fragmented GOP primary featuring Erin Stewart, Ryan Fazio, and Betsy McCaughey, reinforce this positioning, despite low overall fundraising paces. Potential shifts include a Lamont primary upset, GOP nominee consolidation post-conventions, or unforeseen scandals, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$1,459 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican
$2,251 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont's commanding lead in the August 11 primary polls—57% to 13% over challenger Josh Elliott in the February University of New Hampshire survey—bolsters trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, amid Connecticut's status as a Democratic stronghold with no Republican governor since 2011 and consistent safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Lamont's prior victories by 13 and 15 points, coupled with tepid but positive approval and a fragmented GOP primary featuring Erin Stewart, Ryan Fazio, and Betsy McCaughey, reinforce this positioning, despite low overall fundraising paces. Potential shifts include a Lamont primary upset, GOP nominee consolidation post-conventions, or unforeseen scandals, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,711วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont's commanding lead in the August 11 primary polls—57% to 13% over challenger Josh Elliott in the February University of New Hampshire survey—bolsters trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, amid Connecticut's status as a Democratic stronghold with no Republican governor since 2011 and consistent safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Lamont's prior victories by 13 and 15 points, coupled with tepid but positive approval and a fragmented GOP primary featuring Erin Stewart, Ryan Fazio, and Betsy McCaughey, reinforce this positioning, despite low overall fundraising paces. Potential shifts include a Lamont primary upset, GOP nominee consolidation post-conventions, or unforeseen scandals, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,711วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont's commanding lead in the August 11 primary polls—57% to 13% over challenger Josh Elliott in the February University of New Hampshire survey—bolsters trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, amid Connecticut's status as a Democratic stronghold with no Republican governor since 2011 and consistent safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Lamont's prior victories by 13 and 15 points, coupled with tepid but positive approval and a fragmented GOP primary featuring Erin Stewart, Ryan Fazio, and Betsy McCaughey, reinforce this positioning, despite low overall fundraising paces. Potential shifts include a Lamont primary upset, GOP nominee consolidation post-conventions, or unforeseen scandals, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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