Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race against Republican Bruce Blakeman, reflecting New York’s consistent Democratic lean, Hochul’s incumbency advantages, and double-digit polling leads that have held through the summer. Recent Siena surveys among likely voters show Hochul ahead by 10 points as of early August, with stronger margins earlier in the cycle, supported by superior fundraising and endorsements that have consolidated her base after an uncontested primary. Blakeman, Nassau County executive and Trump-endorsed nominee following Elise Stefanik’s withdrawal, trails notably in name recognition and statewide appeal despite competitive showings in some suburban areas. The trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals and the state’s electoral history, where Republicans have not won a gubernatorial contest since 2002. Late developments such as shifts on affordability, turnout surges in key regions, or unforeseen national events could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such reversals unlikely by November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew York Governor Election Winner
New York Governor Election Winner
$103,710 ปริมาณ
$103,710 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
95%
Republican
6%
$103,710 ปริมาณ
$103,710 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$49,090 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican
$54,621 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race against Republican Bruce Blakeman, reflecting New York’s consistent Democratic lean, Hochul’s incumbency advantages, and double-digit polling leads that have held through the summer. Recent Siena surveys among likely voters show Hochul ahead by 10 points as of early August, with stronger margins earlier in the cycle, supported by superior fundraising and endorsements that have consolidated her base after an uncontested primary. Blakeman, Nassau County executive and Trump-endorsed nominee following Elise Stefanik’s withdrawal, trails notably in name recognition and statewide appeal despite competitive showings in some suburban areas. The trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals and the state’s electoral history, where Republicans have not won a gubernatorial contest since 2002. Late developments such as shifts on affordability, turnout surges in key regions, or unforeseen national events could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such reversals unlikely by November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,710วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race against Republican Bruce Blakeman, reflecting New York’s consistent Democratic lean, Hochul’s incumbency advantages, and double-digit polling leads that have held through the summer. Recent Siena surveys among likely voters show Hochul ahead by 10 points as of early August, with stronger margins earlier in the cycle, supported by superior fundraising and endorsements that have consolidated her base after an uncontested primary. Blakeman, Nassau County executive and Trump-endorsed nominee following Elise Stefanik’s withdrawal, trails notably in name recognition and statewide appeal despite competitive showings in some suburban areas. The trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals and the state’s electoral history, where Republicans have not won a gubernatorial contest since 2002. Late developments such as shifts on affordability, turnout surges in key regions, or unforeseen national events could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such reversals unlikely by November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,710วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race against Republican Bruce Blakeman, reflecting New York’s consistent Democratic lean, Hochul’s incumbency advantages, and double-digit polling leads that have held through the summer. Recent Siena surveys among likely voters show Hochul ahead by 10 points as of early August, with stronger margins earlier in the cycle, supported by superior fundraising and endorsements that have consolidated her base after an uncontested primary. Blakeman, Nassau County executive and Trump-endorsed nominee following Elise Stefanik’s withdrawal, trails notably in name recognition and statewide appeal despite competitive showings in some suburban areas. The trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals and the state’s electoral history, where Republicans have not won a gubernatorial contest since 2002. Late developments such as shifts on affordability, turnout surges in key regions, or unforeseen national events could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such reversals unlikely by November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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