Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for the 2026 New York gubernatorial election, driven by her record-high approval ratings—reaching 52% favorable in late March Siena polling—and consistent double-digit leads over Republican frontrunner Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, including 47%-34% in the most recent Siena survey from March 23-26. New York's entrenched Democratic dominance, with no Republican governor since George Pataki left office in 2006, bolsters this positioning despite Hochul's narrow 2022 win over Lee Zeldin. Recent favorability surges reflect effective handling of state budget and crime issues, though her lead has narrowed slightly from February peaks. Upsets could arise from a consolidated GOP primary winner, ongoing immigration policy clashes escalating voter turnout in upstate and Long Island battlegrounds, Democratic infighting ahead of the June 23 primaries, or scandals impacting Hochul's incumbency advantage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew York Governor Election Winner
New York Governor Election Winner
$52,431 ปริมาณ
$52,431 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
9%
$52,431 ปริมาณ
$52,431 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$26,415 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican
$26,016 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for the 2026 New York gubernatorial election, driven by her record-high approval ratings—reaching 52% favorable in late March Siena polling—and consistent double-digit leads over Republican frontrunner Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, including 47%-34% in the most recent Siena survey from March 23-26. New York's entrenched Democratic dominance, with no Republican governor since George Pataki left office in 2006, bolsters this positioning despite Hochul's narrow 2022 win over Lee Zeldin. Recent favorability surges reflect effective handling of state budget and crime issues, though her lead has narrowed slightly from February peaks. Upsets could arise from a consolidated GOP primary winner, ongoing immigration policy clashes escalating voter turnout in upstate and Long Island battlegrounds, Democratic infighting ahead of the June 23 primaries, or scandals impacting Hochul's incumbency advantage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,431วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for the 2026 New York gubernatorial election, driven by her record-high approval ratings—reaching 52% favorable in late March Siena polling—and consistent double-digit leads over Republican frontrunner Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, including 47%-34% in the most recent Siena survey from March 23-26. New York's entrenched Democratic dominance, with no Republican governor since George Pataki left office in 2006, bolsters this positioning despite Hochul's narrow 2022 win over Lee Zeldin. Recent favorability surges reflect effective handling of state budget and crime issues, though her lead has narrowed slightly from February peaks. Upsets could arise from a consolidated GOP primary winner, ongoing immigration policy clashes escalating voter turnout in upstate and Long Island battlegrounds, Democratic infighting ahead of the June 23 primaries, or scandals impacting Hochul's incumbency advantage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,431วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for the 2026 New York gubernatorial election, driven by her record-high approval ratings—reaching 52% favorable in late March Siena polling—and consistent double-digit leads over Republican frontrunner Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, including 47%-34% in the most recent Siena survey from March 23-26. New York's entrenched Democratic dominance, with no Republican governor since George Pataki left office in 2006, bolsters this positioning despite Hochul's narrow 2022 win over Lee Zeldin. Recent favorability surges reflect effective handling of state budget and crime issues, though her lead has narrowed slightly from February peaks. Upsets could arise from a consolidated GOP primary winner, ongoing immigration policy clashes escalating voter turnout in upstate and Long Island battlegrounds, Democratic infighting ahead of the June 23 primaries, or scandals impacting Hochul's incumbency advantage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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