Incumbent Republican Rick Allen holds a significant edge in Georgia’s 12th Congressional District, rated R+7 by the Cook Political Report, after securing the GOP nomination without a runoff in the May 19 primary. Democrat Ceretta Smith advanced through a June 16 runoff to become the general-election nominee, yet faces an entrenched incumbent in a district Allen has carried comfortably in prior cycles. Georgia law triggers a December 1 runoff only if no candidate reaches a majority on November 3, but historical margins and the district’s partisan voting index point to an Allen victory exceeding 50 percent on election night. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for an outright first-round winner reflects the absence of major polling shifts, scandals, or late developments that could compress the margin below the runoff threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว95% โอกาส
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Nov 3, 2026
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Nov 3, 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.Incumbent Republican Rick Allen holds a significant edge in Georgia’s 12th Congressional District, rated R+7 by the Cook Political Report, after securing the GOP nomination without a runoff in the May 19 primary. Democrat Ceretta Smith advanced through a June 16 runoff to become the general-election nominee, yet faces an entrenched incumbent in a district Allen has carried comfortably in prior cycles. Georgia law triggers a December 1 runoff only if no candidate reaches a majority on November 3, but historical margins and the district’s partisan voting index point to an Allen victory exceeding 50 percent on election night. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for an outright first-round winner reflects the absence of major polling shifts, scandals, or late developments that could compress the margin below the runoff threshold.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$298วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.Incumbent Republican Rick Allen holds a significant edge in Georgia’s 12th Congressional District, rated R+7 by the Cook Political Report, after securing the GOP nomination without a runoff in the May 19 primary. Democrat Ceretta Smith advanced through a June 16 runoff to become the general-election nominee, yet faces an entrenched incumbent in a district Allen has carried comfortably in prior cycles. Georgia law triggers a December 1 runoff only if no candidate reaches a majority on November 3, but historical margins and the district’s partisan voting index point to an Allen victory exceeding 50 percent on election night. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for an outright first-round winner reflects the absence of major polling shifts, scandals, or late developments that could compress the margin below the runoff threshold.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$298วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Republican Rick Allen holds a significant edge in Georgia’s 12th Congressional District, rated R+7 by the Cook Political Report, after securing the GOP nomination without a runoff in the May 19 primary. Democrat Ceretta Smith advanced through a June 16 runoff to become the general-election nominee, yet faces an entrenched incumbent in a district Allen has carried comfortably in prior cycles. Georgia law triggers a December 1 runoff only if no candidate reaches a majority on November 3, but historical margins and the district’s partisan voting index point to an Allen victory exceeding 50 percent on election night. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for an outright first-round winner reflects the absence of major polling shifts, scandals, or late developments that could compress the margin below the runoff threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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