Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th congressional district. The majority-Hispanic district, which includes border areas near Tucson and Yuma, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent past results. Grijalva secured her party’s nomination without significant opposition in the July 2026 primary, while the Republican nominee has not generated comparable momentum or fundraising. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
$25,846 ปริมาณ
$25,846 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$25,846 ปริมาณ
$25,846 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,794 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$20,052 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th congressional district. The majority-Hispanic district, which includes border areas near Tucson and Yuma, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent past results. Grijalva secured her party’s nomination without significant opposition in the July 2026 primary, while the Republican nominee has not generated comparable momentum or fundraising. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,846วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th congressional district. The majority-Hispanic district, which includes border areas near Tucson and Yuma, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent past results. Grijalva secured her party’s nomination without significant opposition in the July 2026 primary, while the Republican nominee has not generated comparable momentum or fundraising. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,846วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th congressional district. The majority-Hispanic district, which includes border areas near Tucson and Yuma, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent past results. Grijalva secured her party’s nomination without significant opposition in the July 2026 primary, while the Republican nominee has not generated comparable momentum or fundraising. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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